Double Top in 2010-13, then G.D. II?

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by Kubinec, Jul 10, 2009.

Double Top around 2012, then crash??

  1. yes

    5 vote(s)
  2. no

    17 vote(s)
  1. We already made a double top, an almost perfect one, in Oct. '07. This has been the reversal off that to the tune of almost -60%. If we see that 1576 S&P level again, which I don't think we will any time soon, it will probably go on to make new highs.

    There will always be another stock market bubble, be it next year or 15-20 years from now.
    #11     Jul 11, 2009
  2. yeah it still surprises me more people don't already recognize that as a double top, which means to me if we see 665 we are going to see 400
    #12     Jul 11, 2009
  3. +1 Just look at the current price of Rhodium. It has completely colapsed. It went from 10k to 1.6k. The next logical choice after the China boom is Africa. There is alot of economic, industrial, consumer growth just waiting to explode on the continent.

    #13     Jul 11, 2009
  4. where did you get that crazy idea
    #14     Jul 11, 2009
  5. One wild, unsupported guess is as good as another.
    #15     Jul 11, 2009
  6. Estimates on gold prices run the gamut. Until the currency
    turmoil in the world abates, gold will stay bid. Lyle Gramley
    and others have hinted at the role gold will play in the future
    " IF" the worst comes to pass. One thing is for certain, US
    Treas. is bankrupt. How that will affect gold in the future is
    anyone's guess.
    #16     Jul 11, 2009
  7. Steph is right again.

    People have gotten decimated, the value of everything from their homes to 401(k) to their investment properties have plunged, they're insecure in their jobs if they haven't gotten laid off, retirees are losing pensions and health care because of corporate bankruptcies, and the last thing the public trusts or will trust is Wall Street.

    There won't be any rocket fuel for any equity market bull to ride for a long, long time.

    In fact, the reverse is true. There's a record amount of baby boomers about to cash out of the stock market, and they'll feel the weight of the world off their shoulders, as they wash their hands of what they rightfully perceive is a rigged game (they finally get the nefarious deeds that Goldman Sachs and 'Hedge Funds' do), and they'll be more than happy to downscale their living standards with cash in the bank, no matter how low the yields, where at least they know they won't lose another 50% of their wealth or more.
    #17     Jul 11, 2009
  8. Topper


    Presidential elections in 2012 can prove to be quite the catalyst.

    I'm amazed at the lack of faith most of you have for the US. Sit and whine like a bunch of wussies about a jackass voted into power or start getting loud to your congress... Be weak or be strong. In any case, my buddy's print-finish shop was dead the last quarter to the point of a 40% drop in revenue and right now out of nowhere he has so much business that not only did he hire 4 new people, he actually bought a freakin' air mattress because he couldn't put in the nonstop 16 hour days and still drive back n forth to home. For those who are wondering, print finishing is industrial imprinting and die cutting. (High end printing)
    #18     Jul 11, 2009
  9. It's from all the people printing thousands of resumes.

    Tell your buddy to take cash or credit/debit card only. No checks.
    #19     Jul 11, 2009
  10. Topper


    Print finishing actually doesn't deal with resumes and that type of print. To give you an example, one of the orders he just got within the last week was an order for 400,000 custom designed cigar wraps for which he just UPS'ed a portion to Fla today (7/11) which are to be flown out to Honduras. Basically, he stamped foil on them, embossed them, die cut them, had all the blanks popped out of them, packaged and shipped...whew! Meanwhile, another order was to foil stamp logos onto thousands of envelopes for Stryker Auto.... (bad ASS rides), as well as a prototype tabletop cube type thing for a Microsoft servicing company, NOT to mention three separate orders for custom folders to diecut fold and glue that he hasn't even been able to get on his machines and have been sitting for a week which is why he's gonna be working 10+ hours he prides in the fact he's never missed a deadline.

    He's high end. An example would be that he does letterhead for people like William Clay Ford, Bill Ford Jr., Jack Van Impe... He's stamped Bibles for Bishops and Cardinals and has stamped a couple things for a couple different US Presidents. He's the one alot of the big dogs will use.

    Bently, Lamborghini and Ferrari also use his services. Last year he had an order for half a million letterhead for Bently!

    No resumes! Trust when I say that if his business picked up this sharply, it's something that may be a signal to the direction of the economy.
    #20     Jul 12, 2009