Don's Openings and More for 2006

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Don Bright, Dec 30, 2005.

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  1. 5 fills / 7700 shares

    3 long / 2 short / -254.00

    -.75 / +.75% no skew

    real choppy this am...had no feel and got out sooner than later...

    blocked 17 out of 86...

    lots of earnings etc...
     
    #381     Apr 26, 2006
  2. Only 1 fill today....AA, made 8 cents...boot campers did 'ok' today, 8,5 and 11 no fills...

    Back at it tomorrow...

    Don
     
    #382     Apr 26, 2006
  3. Is this "trade with specialist" approach worth the work?
    Let me do an estimate.
    Let B denotes account balance, P=4B the purchasing power.
    Assume that (a) 1 out of every 5 orders are filled, (b) average stock price is $25 per share, (c) gain per share is 1.5 cents=$0.015 per share as Lescor said.
    Then, each day, the return rate is
    P/5*0.015/25/B = 0.00048.
    Annual compounded rate is
    (1 + 0.00048)^250 -1 = 12.8%.
    This is not worth it.
    Please correct me if any of the above assumptions is wrong.
     
    #383     Apr 26, 2006
  4. P=4B is wrong. You are assuming retail leverage. This strategy is best employed using prop leverage and you'll probably find most of the profitable posters are trading this strategy prop.
     
    #384     Apr 26, 2006
  5. You're absolutely right...It's not worth it! Some of us who don't have anything better to do with our time just view it as a hobby. :)
     
    #385     Apr 26, 2006
  6. I agree. Who needs an extra stinking $200k a year?
     
    #386     Apr 26, 2006
  7. OK guys, be nice...remember, it's better that others don't join us, more money for us....just like those who don't eat turkey at Thanksgiving...more for me, LOL (as if I need it, LOL).

    Anyway, fair day today....+$540...out by 9:34.

    Boot campers had a tough day..they didn't get their slingshots in quickly enough....and had to suffer through a 2 hour lecture from me....all in the vein of trying to get them more profitable, of course.


    Back at it tomorrow...

    Don
     
    #387     Apr 27, 2006
  8. 9 fills / 12600 shares

    8 long / 1 short / -1536.00

    - 1.15 / + .35%

    just an awful day...made a lot of errors in execution as my arb positions were mixed in with the 0/0 orders...

    most of my losses were mental screw ups....

    it still amazes me that i can still think of new ways to hurt myself...

    oh well...:(
     
    #388     Apr 27, 2006
  9. lescor

    lescor

    ....

    Most of your assumptions are wrong. How you arrived at 12.8% doesn't seem to make sense either. "Worth it" is a personal decision. There is definitely opportunity cost because you are tied up trading one strategy and might be missing other good trades.

    I'm only up $15k net on this strategy this year, less than half of where I projected I'd be at this time of year. I do it because it's fairly steady, and after 5 years, easy, money for me. It's a good way to start the day, and every once in a while you get a huge payoff. Lots of downside to it too though, like you can get your ass handed to you in a hurry if you miss something important.
     
    #389     Apr 27, 2006
  10. openin' plays are mostly free $$$ for me i don't ever place me orders before mkt opens as don&co do but soon after da bell; works very well for me...2days ago i had a massive run with zran, 4%+ gains in just 10min.
    r/r umbeatable here, but ya, im glad u think it is a waste of time'n'money...don't need more competition for sure, hee hee:
     
    #390     Apr 27, 2006
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