Does trendline work?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by GloriaBrown, Aug 17, 2019.

  1. Redneck

    Redneck


    So sitting / tradin / thinkin (not about tradin - LOL) - today


    Do you realize just how many forms TLs take - straight is one

    MA's are a form of TLs..., as are bollinger / keltner / fibs / pitchforks..., and a whole host of others


    Hmmm - this shit is simply amazing

    RN
     
    #391     Sep 1, 2023
  2. WWarrior

    WWarrior

    Exactly and I find them handy not to trade but observe what the order flow is doing .
     
    #392     Sep 1, 2023
    Redneck likes this.
  3. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    As I said previously, trendlines work when drawn properly.

    Blue line not red one, late this afternoon on NQ:-

    ! NQ TL.png

    But even when drawn properly a distinction needs to be made between qualified and unqualified ones to enter. Or fade it.
     
    Last edited: Sep 1, 2023
    #393     Sep 1, 2023
    murray t turtle and Redneck like this.
  4. deaddog

    deaddog

    Can you explain why?
     
    #394     Sep 1, 2023
  5. Redneck

    Redneck


    Take the chart SunTrader posted - start left most bar (candle)


    Think and speak in terms of buying / selling..., and buying / selling pressure

    Then step through bar by bar (no reference to brooks intended) - describing what is unfolding

    as you do this..., and have progressed thru some of the story - start incorporating in (blending) the story of what has happed over the preceding bars from where you began.., to what is happening


    Next

    That first long tailed candle (where the red TL originates) - why was it created (what did it accomplish) - there two reasons


    Soon it will become self evident why the blue TL is the valid one..., and why the red one is there to fuck with one's day


    Trading takes a different way of thinking and seeing (and of course acting)


    RN
     
    #395     Sep 2, 2023
  6. There's some pretty good artists here who enjoy drawing creative lines on their hindsight charts.

    Here's a challenge for you all.

    Draw out a trend line leading up to present time and give us a signal based on said line. And let's see how it works out.

    I won't be holding my breath. :)
     
    #396     Sep 2, 2023
    theapprentice likes this.
  7. Redneck

    Redneck

    Best not - it the weekend.., and a holiday

    That you can't read price - no need to project your inadequacies

    Signals are a dime a dozen


    Maybe go forecast the reward on the stop you keep moving - LMAO

    And no not disparaging stops / managing stop - just you.., and your holier than thou bullshit


    enjoy not holding your breath :)


    RN
     
    #397     Sep 2, 2023
  8. You run a big mouth and have nothing to back it up with, so I just chalk you off as 'noise'.

    I would guess you're a retiree (not from trading profits) who enjoy spending your free time on ET being perceived as a guru by a few. In that category you're in company with many others.

    If you perceive this as harsh, keep in mind that you invited it. I merely suggested a real time/present tense demonstration as that would be the only proof of any validity by the advocates of this approach, so no need to get defensive. If it works so well, why is it so hard to demonstrate it and share a real time signal?

    To use your own words, trend lines are 'a dime a dozen'. On yesterday's chart there are many who failed, but are not easily spotted in hindsight.
     
    #398     Sep 2, 2023
  9. deaddog

    deaddog

    I find that difficult to do as the candles (with the exception of one) are all the same color.
    I'd appreciate if you could walk me through it.

    sellers drove price down then buyer came in.
    I'd like to hear your two reasons.

    this is way above my pay grade. one minute chart is way to fast. I trade EOD off a daily.
    My days hardly ever get fucked because of a line on a one minute chart. :)
     
    #399     Sep 2, 2023
    Onra likes this.
  10. Jzwu2017

    Jzwu2017

    All analyses are hindsight, like all those YouTube videos. They are not wrong per se, just not particularly useful. The only true test is real time analysis/trading.

    We tend to justify market moves afterwards and try to decode some patterns from that. It’s the human nature to rationalize things, which unfortunately doesn’t work well with trading since market is often irrational.

    For trendlines, they only work 100% in hindsight and have no consistent predictive power, meaning that they work/don’t work in real time.
     
    #400     Sep 2, 2023