I guess it depends on how actively you manage your portfolio. Buying stocks that are trending, cutting losses quickly and leting winners run has worked exceptionally well for me in the past 20 years.
do not think you nkow: Only 86 of the original firms are still in the S&P 500 index; over 1100 replacements; up have no idea.
Yes, over many decades. And it's quite presumptuous for a newbie who hasn't mastered basic grammar to tell me I have "no idea." If your crackpot theory were correct, the S&P 500 wouldn't have 50%+ drawdowns (it's happened twice in the last 20 years) or multi-year bear markets. They'd just magically replace weak stocks with strong stocks and it would go straight up. Yippee!!
You're a little harsh on yourself. I'd give you a "D" so long as you do some remedial work and we have a few parents' meetings.
Did my post get deleted or something? I can swear I answered this fucktarded question twice... The SP goes only down over time. If the OP would simply pull up a 100-year chart, the evidence is clear. Short it now. All in, and you will be rich. Why is this not science?
Not very nice. Wasn’t looking for an elementary type answer, it was clearly more of a philosophical question to get some perspective of others. Which most others got the point. Of course you can see S&P has went up steady for as long as it’s been around…. To elaborate, should one quit trying to find an edge/unique strategy to trade, or just go Buffet and pile it in index and not worry about it, while using some leverage, long term options, etc. (not margin).