Does the S & P always go up, over the long term ?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by dickey7, Jul 26, 2022.

  1. orbit23

    orbit23

    One of the reasons why it's always going up is because they KEEP PRINTING MONEY.

    The stocks are valued against the DOLLAR. As money perpetually loses it's value, stocks naturally go up.

    'Black swan' events, which happen every so often usually wipe out all these "up only" strategies. So it might work for 10 years, but then you lose it all in a single event.

    The environment keeps changing. You need to accustom the strategy depending on the environment. Nothing works all the time.
     
    #11     Jul 27, 2022
    ET180 and NoahA like this.
  2. DevBru

    DevBru

    The big ones would probably just buy those companies before they become a big competitor, profiting even more.

    Also, most of them do have serious competition, they are just doing it better.

    To answer OPs question, yes, over time it should goup.
    However this only works if you hold long enough.

    If you buy now and hold 30 years you are almost guaranteed a return, over 5 years for example not.
     
    #12     Jul 27, 2022
    dickey7 likes this.
  3. S&P stocks are changed all the time; Walmart, Wendy's, OfficeMax, Twitter & Tesla were dropped; between January 1, 1963 and December 31, 2014, 1,186 index components were replaced by other components (i.e. better indices), how cold it no go up?
     
    #13     Jul 27, 2022
  4. if your stock is de-listed, you are guaranteed nothing.
     
    #14     Jul 27, 2022
  5. MKTrader

    MKTrader

    While the S&P 500 wasn't around during the 1929 crash, it took the Dow about 25 years to reach an all-time high again after the crash and Great Depression. Japan's Nikkei peaked in 1989 and is still below that level 33 years later.

    So the best answer is the S&P 500 has always recovered from crashes in the past, but there's no guaranty for the future.
     
    #15     Jul 27, 2022
  6. 2rosy

    2rosy

  7. MKTrader

    MKTrader

    #17     Jul 27, 2022
  8. DevBru

    DevBru

    This thread is about the index, not individual stocks.
     
    #18     Jul 27, 2022

  9. S&P 500 has always recovered from crashes in the past.... by dumping weak stocks and replacing with most robust stronger ones.
     
    #19     Jul 27, 2022
  10. MKTrader

    MKTrader

    Eh, that relies on stock picking and isn't guaranteed to work in a situation like the Nikkei is in
     
    #20     Jul 27, 2022