Does Elliott Wave Theory actually work?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Vincent S. Ashmore, Nov 25, 2015.

  1. lylec305

    lylec305

    A flip of coin works also. So does head lump reading.
     
    #61     Dec 21, 2017
    tommcginnis likes this.
  2. Authors, perhaps?
     
    #62     Dec 27, 2017
    tommcginnis and Xela like this.
  3. tommcginnis

    tommcginnis

    You can translate Chinese to any language on earth.
    And then, you can translate it back.
    And you can do this again and again and again.
    And aside from some "slippage" of vocabulary or tenses and such, the same story will be repeatedly told.

    So you see the problem with your analogy?
    You can't do that (translate back and forth, expecting same/similar outcomes)
    with Mr. Elliot's waves.
    You can't *predict*, but only *diagnose* on dead, already-happened, data:
    "post mortem."

    To put it *very* simply: to have predictive utility, a method must first be, predictive.
     
    #63     Dec 27, 2017
  4. qxr1011

    qxr1011

    The title of the thread is correct: it is a theory..., not a trading method and that applies to any type of market analysis.

    One has to create the trading method oneself ! And while doing that, one may utilize the theory (including Eliot's) to the extend that one thinks is useful.

    Looking for the books explaining the working method someone created based on Eliot ways (or any analysis) - good luck with that.
     
    #64     Dec 27, 2017
  5. Sprout

    Sprout

    Isn’t one the telling of a story in the past and the other more of a telling of an unfolding story in the present?

    The present always contains multiple possibilities of what the future might bring.

    Meteorologists appear to forecast based on trends of what is happening in the present extending into the future. Meteorologists frequently get it wrong but does it discount the method’s utility?
     
    #65     Dec 27, 2017
  6. baro-san

    baro-san

    You missed my point: "If one (you) can't do it (i.e. speak Chinese, trade profitably), it doesn't mean nobody can (speak Chinese, trade profitably)".

    We all look at the same data (Chinese characters, price data), but we can't see what others see, even when we're given hints. If you can't do it, it doesn't mean others can't do it. But, be sure that if you think it can't be done, you won't be able to do it. Keep an open mind!
     
    #66     Dec 27, 2017
    Sprout likes this.
  7. baro-san

    baro-san

    The whole idea isn't to predict, but to look at what happened until this moment, to analyze it, gauge the market breath at the moment, and act accordingly. Then don't get stuck with your past assessments; just keep reassessing and acting accordingly.

    Elliott Wave Theory, and others help you make that assessment. They give you an edge if you understand what they are (including their limitations), and what they tell you.
     
    #67     Dec 27, 2017
  8. tommcginnis

    tommcginnis

    Elliot's method is interpolation; prediction depends on extrapolation.
     
    #68     Dec 27, 2017
  9. Elliot's Wave Theory works for Elliot. -- you should develop your own theory, and call it McGinnis' Theory.
    Too many people look directly at someone else for their instant overnight gold mine market success riches, :confused:

    Make Trading Great Again 2018, High-Five`
     
    #69     Dec 27, 2017
  10. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Those patterns and theories are all sooo yesterday.
    Anybody that knows anything is trading the ATS-320XXX.
    300% annually with no losses.

    tanti.jpg
    s-l640.jpg
    Felonious Gru... the talking genius
    He even has a "Try Me" button.
     
    Last edited: Dec 27, 2017
    #70     Dec 27, 2017
    tommcginnis likes this.