Discussion in 'Economics' started by mahram, Sep 15, 2009.
i was just pontificating, does the stock maket automatically go up if the economy fully recovers.
Before the economy recovers it should go up as expectation rise.
If at recovery the economy looks like it could go badly then the market would likely be down at that point.
Market going up now on the "anticipation and hope" phase.
There will not now, nor ever be in the Boomer's lifetimes a "full recovery" in the economy.
When reality sets in, market either (1) tanks and stays down in lower level trading range, or (2) SOARS... on money-pump inflation and currency debasement. Given the choice between these two, you'd better be hoping for #1. #2, is the Destroyer Of Worlds.
Why would it automatically go up
Look back in October 2007 when everything was going GREAAAATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT, banks were over leveraged 100000 to 1, private equity was the place to be, venture capitalists were just throwing money at any crazy idea, housing was BOOMING, doubling nearly every 6 months, jobs were plentiful with GDP growing at 4%+. The consumer was spending and the markets were in a roaring bull market. DOW 14k came and went....
You mean with monopoly money and taxpayer bailouts.
Sure, that's an economic recovery right there for you.
RIGHT ON THE MONEY! (FIAT THAT IS)
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