Do You Think Trading is a Game of Chance? Yes. I have no idea how my current trade will end up. I use my skills to plan my trades so in the "long run" I will have a positive expectancy. The problem is I am not guaranteed that there will be a long run and markets can change and my planing skills can become obsolete. No. There is no chance involved, I know exactly how my current trade will end up. I do not need a "long run". I make money in the short term, I will make money in the "long run". I simply MAKE money.