Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by atlTrader666, Aug 10, 2011.

  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    And I will take that contract .... to go long.

    I expect this bounce to go a little bit higher (5-20 pts) before more selling comes in.
     
    #841     Aug 25, 2013
  2. toc

    toc

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=btPJPFnesV4

    Eye of the Tiger

    Risin' up, back on the street
    Did my time, took my chances
    Went the distance now I'm back on my feet
    Just a man and his will to survive

    So many times it happens too fast
    You trade your passion for glory
    Don't lose your grip on the dreams of the past
    You must fight just to keep them alive


    It's the eye of the tiger, it's the thrill of the fight
    Risin' up to the challenge of our rival
    And the last known survivor stalks his prey in the night
    And he's watchin' us all with the eye of the tiger

    Face to face, out in the heat
    Hangin' tough, stayin' hungry
    They stack the odds, still we take to the street
    For the kill with the skill to survive

    It's the eye of the tiger, it's the thrill of the fight
    Risin' up to the challenge of our rival
    And the last known survivor stalks his prey in the night
    And he's watchin' us all with the eye of the tiger

    Risin' up, straight to the top
    Had the guts, got the glory
    Went the distance now I'm not gonna stop
    Just a man and his will to survive

    It's the eye of the tiger, it's the thrill of the fight
    Risin' up to the challenge of our rival
    And the last known survivor stalks his prey in the night
    And he's watchin' us all with the eye of the tiger

    The eye of the tiger
    The eye of the tiger
    The eye of the tiger
    The eye of the tiger
     
    #842     Aug 26, 2013
  3. eurusdzn

    eurusdzn

    Generate 500 random charts . Calculate the random 500 Index the same way the SP500
    Index is calculated. I bet it would take a heck of a lot of these iterations to get trends similar to the sp500 over any multi year window.

    On a smaller scale generate 50 or so random charts and "index" them and compare to
    recent price pattern of REITS, home construction, Utilities, Emerging market.
    There is a high + correlation among same industry components and the sector and higher than random + or - correlation to the sp500. I assume random charts would be closer to zero correlation on average.

    Finally, i wonder how many iterations it would take to get a set of 500 random charts
    that revert toward a 20 period average from a 2 sigma move as well as the sp500 components do.
    I dont see markets as random but i have not tested any of the above statements.
    They may be irrational beliefs or fallacy. Any thoughts on this.
     
    #843     Aug 26, 2013