Do Trendlines work?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by duard, Apr 3, 2005.

  1. duard

    duard

    Another chart...
     
    #961     Jul 20, 2005
  2. duard

    duard

    Some interesting lines which may have helped your trading for the day.

    I admit the reversal (at least for me) was a surprise, however sticking to my principles of short term trading and letting the market tell me where to go I followed the reversal rather than fighting the am reverse. The other lines on the chart show the possibilities of lines drawn prior to market open.

    Do I draw these lines--- No. I used to but found they just confused me. I like price only charts. But I know where they the lines are and sometimes I draw them if I think they'll be important but I don't mark my charts up like this before trading. I'll analyze and see the possibilities and as they unfold I add and remove lines as needed. Sometimes I may use a daily, weekly, or 60 minute chart and draw those lines on my tick data charts. (Multi-fractal analysis)

    Good Luck. Nice moves today.
     
    #962     Jul 20, 2005
  3. duard

    duard

    Here are some lines like I draw. These are what I term reversal lines. They are essentially short term lines anywhere from 1/4 of a session to 2-3 days (if you get follow-through the next trading day).

    They usually change DAILY for the most part. That is there is often a trend change day to day during regular trading hours. Hence the close on the high or low of the day and the next session reverses as sentiment, profit taking, buying, news, or other "events" are factored into the market.

    I use these "eyeballed" delineations as trendlines to help my mind get around a change in sentiment and give me a sense of direction.

    I trade directionally but only in the direction which I feel the market has momentum. This works for me at least with day trading.

    Perhaps this is all bullshit and there are many e.g. "Fooled by Randomness" and "(Mis)behavior of Markets" that say the human mind grasps for structure and patterns where they don't exist. But I believe they exist and hope to profit off these patterns.
     
    #963     Jul 20, 2005
  4. duard

    duard

    Night crew busy again...

    Nice volatility for a change.
     
    #964     Jul 21, 2005
  5. duard

    duard

    More charts...
     
    #965     Jul 21, 2005
  6. duard

    duard

    This time of day parallel consolidation with no reversal @ am reverse means follow through in the direction of the short term trend, i.e. today that was DOWN.
     
    #966     Jul 21, 2005
  7. duard

    duard

    Last chart...
     
    #967     Jul 21, 2005
  8. duard

    duard

    Lastest chart for today.....

    I hope somebody is getting something out of these besides me.
     
    #968     Jul 21, 2005
  9. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    I've been looking at them.
     
    #969     Jul 21, 2005
  10. duard

    duard

    ...Now to integrate the pivots.

    Weekly: R1 1240
    PP 1228

    Daily R1 1242
    PP 1234
    S1 1228

    Previous Day's High 1240
    Open 1228




    See any numbers which may have helped trading today?
     
    #970     Jul 21, 2005