Do Trendlines work?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by duard, Apr 3, 2005.

  1. This tread (sic) has become so unutterably dull that shortly after the close I shall post a chart which, in my best charlatanic manner, proves unequivocally and irrevokably that trends work. If I may borrow from Thomas Watson's old IBM motto: "Trends should work. People should think." Stand by for incoming, mes enfants.
     
    #761     May 31, 2005
  2. Hi WW,

    Other IBM oldie:
    "All parts should go together without forcing. You must remember that the parts
    you are reassembling were disassembled by you. Therefore, if you can't get
    them together again, there must be a reason. By all means, do not use a
    hammer. - IBM Maintenance Manual, 1925"

    This is where ole Jack must have picked up some of his better TA tricks.

    PS: dull thread? 128 pages is nothing for such an important topic as Trend.
     
    #762     May 31, 2005
  3. Well that pm trendline broke with a vengance.
     
    #763     May 31, 2005
  4. A one minute chart of NQ in Pacific Time. Note the beautiful trend. Also note the yellow caution lights at the bottom. I code these low volume times yellow to remind me to "Stay the piss out." Also note the prices at which volume spikes occurred. See how nimble you would have had to be to get out when the trend ended if you gotten in with the crowd? The whole thing reminded me of reeling in a big fish (a sucker fish?). Jack afficionados will note that there was no FTT before the BO. N.Q. Enqueue stalwarts will note that price did not rebound to the TL after BO. Did I trade it? Nope. The little yellow spots on the snow, remember? So do trends work? They certainly worked well for NQ market makers today.
     
    #764     May 31, 2005
  5. If I understand Jack correctly (which is debateable) they would have exited on the left side of the channel . Enter on the right channel, exit on the left.
     
    #765     May 31, 2005
  6. Using what criteria? There was no FTT. But I forget. Is the LEFT side the RIGHT side?
     
    #766     May 31, 2005
  7. I will answer my own question. The brilliant Jackers among you would have noted the low volume at the last thrust (unnnnh!) before the BO. I didn't notice it myself because I wasn't in a trade. I was in something else.
     
    #767     May 31, 2005
  8. I think the ftt only applies to the left channel and there was no bounce at the right channel to reenter. Again Im just guessing. Maybe well get some clarification from the experts.
     
    #768     May 31, 2005
  9. Mikey, you are fucked plain and simple. Give it up cuz there's no hope for you...lol.
     
    #769     May 31, 2005
  10. Thank you for your professional opinion. But nowhere in there did I see a critique of my analysis. I have PMed N.Q. Enqueue, ET's premier NQ trader, and he agrees with me. Of course, it is so much easier to critique a trade you didn't take!
     
    #770     May 31, 2005