Do Trendlines work?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by duard, Apr 3, 2005.

  1. Terrylee

    Terrylee

    Markets are high dimensional systems - that is, expressed by many variables - but still contain a great deal of structure. I believe that trends can help reducing the dimensionality of markets to make decisions. Ultimately, traders should look for models for which the equity line lies on a well identified tracjectory in their searching landscape. To make a story short trends can certainly be used with great result but with a non "Technical Analysis" flavor.
     
    #1591     Nov 7, 2008
  2. trendlines work extremely well and are the closet thing to the holy grail you will ever find.
     
    #1592     Nov 7, 2008
  3. Terrylee

    Terrylee


    There is no such thing as holy grail but stuff that eventually works better than average.

    Here is an example of what I do with trends:

    For each parameter of my system:
    - I do a trend segmentation
    - I build a matrix for which each row is made of a trend
    - I build the autocorrelation matrix
    - I do a Principal Component Analysis on this matrix

    This model looks at the temporal unfolding of a series of contiguous trends. I use this information to generate entries instead of projecting a trend which I agree is stupid.
     
    #1593     Nov 7, 2008
  4. karol88

    karol88

    I couldn't trade without trendlines....
    it all depends where you draw them...most people like to connect tops/bottoms, which doesn't work in my book
     
    #1594     Nov 7, 2008
  5. Could anyone advice a good trade alert service on trend lines signals? I need to recieve notifications via e-mail each time the system recognize a trend and trading signal. Thanks!
     
    #1595     Jan 25, 2009
  6. prash454

    prash454

    Check out www.amibroker.com. You can program it to send you Alerts whenever preset conditions are met.
     
    #1596     Jan 26, 2009
  7. Daytraders should just flip a coin. Heads, go long, tails, short it. If the position moves against you, close it. If the position is profitable, hold on tight. :D

    All I can say is thank god for derivatives. I don't know how you daytraders put up with all the drama.
     
    #1597     Jan 26, 2009
  8. Of course trendlines work, until they don't otherwise ipso facto they wouldn't exist. I think the question is, where and how do they expire?
     
    #1598     Jan 26, 2009
  9. NKNY

    NKNY

    http://www.supportlinealerts.com/

    Free.....
     
    #1599     Jan 28, 2009
  10. Theres a reference to purchasing services in list of disclaimers
    for the download. What services are they talking about? The trend line touch popups?
     
    #1600     Jan 28, 2009