Do Day Traders Rationally Learn About Their Ability?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Evermore2017, Feb 15, 2018.

  1. Xela

    Xela


    I think Lawrence is right about this.

    The reason loads of people lose their money with daytrading is substantially the same as the reason that loads of people lose their money by trading forex with high leverage: it isn't the daytrading itself where the problem lies, but many of the people attracted to it.
     
    #21     Feb 15, 2018
  2. Last edited: Feb 15, 2018
    #22     Feb 15, 2018
  3. Maybe. I go to Las Vegas a lot and never gamble. I actually hate the games. I think its boring. But I will trade hours each day and think nothing of it.
     
    #23     Feb 15, 2018
  4. speedo

    speedo

    I think the point LL and Zela were making is day trading tends to attract people lacking in discipline, work ethic and realistic expectations (as might gambling forays)which would doom any attempting to day trade for a living. As far as the "95% Fail", no one knows what the number is. Extrapolations are make from this and that...suffice it to say that the odds are against anyone entering the arena.
     
    #24     Feb 15, 2018
  5. Not sure I buy that idea. My background is from extremely demanding professions that require a lot of discipline and I am now a trader. I realize that a sample of one is too small to base any stats on. Or perhaps I am just an outlier.
     
    #25     Feb 15, 2018
  6. My personal experience: Start date 1993. Lost $142k my first two years of day trading, but continued to trade because of past success from investments. Took another two or three years to make modest profits. Here I am in 2018 still grinding it out with plenty to live off of. I would say I learned how to trade...definitely. The key for me was being well capitalized and a never ending obsession with the markets.
     
    #26     Feb 15, 2018
  7. speedo

    speedo

    It was not a unilateral statement, anyone who succeeds as a day trader is an outlier.
     
    #27     Feb 15, 2018
  8. Probably true.
     
    #28     Feb 15, 2018
  9. It seems to be an unusual event for someone in their relative prime to switch careers. I also came from a job where errors were not an option. Before trading I had over 20 years of knowing how tired was too tired, what to do to prevent error creeping in, having multiple redundant computer systems and always having a reversal plan should one need to get out.

    I got all that from fairly high end IT contracting. Only by pure fluke, getting an bad injury and while recuperating running into a couple of traders who said I had the right personality did I get into it.

    The skills needed to succeed are not very rare however switching tracks as a mature adult is an outlier occurrence I'm sure.

    Pro finance from early days traders, certainly these guys and girls get rich but many seem to over complicate the task. Understanding of course there are regs to follow if trading OPM.
     
    #29     Feb 15, 2018
  10. Realtive prime. LOL. Thanks for the compliment. I am actually 55 years old. I am came to daytrading from being an airline pilot. Our schedules made making the switch easier than most professions I would think.
     
    #30     Feb 15, 2018
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