I think despite yesterday up and today gap up, mkt likely to roll over very soon, eg l8er today or tomorrow, based on last week's selling. Following VIX TZA for early reversals
Yesterday was a blessing, I was able to sell some naked calls & buy more puts. Todays future gains is a trap, watch how the the market opens with a massive dump.
interesting nice model (but it looks like people are being hanged from the trees). how about modeling it based on explosion mode, not implosion mode.
The model are not feed my bearish bias, I wish to make money not become a perma bear. ML is a new implantation by me to be used in 4 steps to get a strong sentiment & trade execution. Step 1: Fundamentals, macro economics Step 2: Technical analysis Step 3: MLP without my personal directional bias Step 4: Trade execution & hedge
The predictions lines seem to start out about 0 to 3% away from the actual prices for about 4 days, and then they drop below the scale of the chart. The forecast line looks similar to the predictions lines. Zero out 20 of the severe drops in the predictions lines actually happened, so why would the severe drop in the forecast line be expected to happen?
So for the entire year the model returned 18 price predictions, 17 being a massive sell off. Look at nr 18 aka the green one. Since ML something I'm still learning with online open science resource I still really heavily on TA. https://www.tradingview.com/x/gXOB3a13/