Divergences

Discussion in 'Journals' started by romik, Jul 2, 2006.

  1. romik

    romik

    I was kinda looking at closing this paper trade today, as PT1 has been hit and price went down to ~$10.59, but then I thought to myself looking at MACD/HIST and BB...why now? And decided to hold LOL. Well, there has to be some fun involved in this job.
     
    #161     Sep 15, 2006
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  2. romik

    romik

    Here is an updated position based on rollover.

    Sep 06 average was $12.56 and covered on Sep 7th @ $12.90 (-2.7%)

    Initiated short @ $13.00 on Dec 06. PT1 $11.00 reached with 50% position covered and 50% remains open till $13.00. Current unrealised Pnl ~+15% Gross (not accounting for a -2.7% loss on rollover).
     
    #162     Sep 18, 2006
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  3. romik

    romik

    I am still currently looking at hedging positions with buying calls/puts of the underlying stock. Therefore, all new calls will benefit, I hope, from having a hedge in place at the time of making a call.

    One thing I am not taking into consideration here are commissions. Hopefully, it's not much of a problem as PTs are over 1% and commissions will not be taking a big toll on profits. As far as the slippage is concerned, as mentioned in the beginning of the J, I do try and settle for reduced prices than quoted at the time of opening/closing positions.
     
    #163     Sep 18, 2006
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  4. romik

    romik

    hopefully this is ripe for a decline here, 52w high has not been broken so far and the price is down over 2% today
     
    #164     Sep 21, 2006
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  5. romik

    romik

    SHORT - IPG (NYSE) Interpublic Grp of Cos

    Hedge: Buy 75 Oct $10.00 Calls @ 0.25

    Current: $9.83
    Average down: ~$10.17
    PT1: $9.10
    PT2: $8.00
    PT3: N/A
    Stop: ~$10.30
    BRD in HIST on a daily chart attached, but daily chart is in an uptrend with a possible double bottom in the mid $7 range. Possible reward outweighs risk here. I would say that this could be a risky trade when looking on the daily chart.

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=IPG
     
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    #165     Sep 26, 2006
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  6. romik

    romik

    I still believe silver would hit $10 and only then a possible strong reversal to the upside.
     
    #166     Oct 3, 2006
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  7. romik

    romik

     
    #167     Oct 3, 2006
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  8. romik

    romik

    Some more thoughts about current silver situation.
     
    #168     Oct 4, 2006
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  9. romik

    romik

    **********UPDATE****************

    Staying in the trade as there is a strong possibility of a 3BRD in MACD and now we have also a possible short grail present in RSI on daily chart.


    Short ABI (NYSE) Applera Corp - Applied Biosystems Group

    Current: $30.84
    PT1: $28.00
    PT2: $25.00
    PT3: N/A
    Average down: N/A
    Stop: $33.60
    BRD in MACD/HIST/RSI/STOCH on a weekly chart attached.

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ABI
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



    I think the fate of this trade is going to be decided very shortly. At the moment the price approaches 52 week high of $33.59, but there is a cute BRD on the weekly chart, which is still valid. So the plan would be to close the trade @ initial stop level and re-enter the short when shorter TFs start showing signs of weakening upside. Hopefully it's not going to gap down or up for that matter.
     
    #169     Oct 5, 2006
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  10. romik

    romik

    Position closed for:

    +11.95% adjusted
     
    #170     Oct 6, 2006
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