Discussion of Crude Oil technicals- emotion-free technical conversation...

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by gangof4, Jun 20, 2008.

  1. jagmot

    jagmot

    Yes. The play here is I'm looking to keep the credit spread of 1220 and have a chance for big bucks if CL can really roll over and drop below 125 support.

    However, I suspect that I will probably just keep the premium and both options will expire worthless.

    In my previous posts, you can see I sold 170C in December and bought 110P.
     
    #21     Jun 26, 2008
  2. jagmot

    jagmot

    Not so much with CL rising the past few days, down $1300 as of today with CL at $141.50
     
    #22     Jun 27, 2008
  3. jagmot

    jagmot

    This is where time decay starts to work in my favor. CLZ8 is $5 higher than when I placed this trade, however I am currently at breakeven (minus slippage and commissions if I were to exit) due to time decay on my options. (My short call has decayed faster than my long put)

    Still looking for crude to rollover but no idea when, perhaps after hurricane season is over.
     
    #23     Jul 10, 2008
  4. jagmot

    jagmot

    Getting close to my profit target here, I may try to exit this trade for 5k tomorrow.

    I will post when and if I exit the trade
     
    #24     Jul 23, 2008
  5. jagmot

    jagmot

    Exited trade this morning.

    I bought back 170C for $2120 (profit +$2860) and sold the 110C for $6820 (profit +$3060)

    Total commissions of $11
    Total profit of $5909

    fyi - Confirmations of trade times are on PST.
     
    #25     Jul 29, 2008