I had my eye on FBRX for weeks since its IV has been so high. Looked at the financials and felt comfortable taking a position by selling the ~7.5 puts, but they didn't offer strikes that low so I didn't do anything. Might start selling some close to the money puts now if IV remains high. Cash on balance sheet gives it a 3-4$ floor unless there's something I'm not aware of.
The market cap at $25 per share is around $400 mil. I think it is so easy to dump and pump. I hope they don’t go bankruptcy since the share was about $3.5 today, which bring their market to less than $100 mil.
Yeah, don't be too quick to value it on a cash basis as they are not going to be in a hurry to shut down after paying a special dividend to shareholders. These co's always drain the cash.
Based on what I have read so far this company does not have any other drug candidates, and their cash level should be less than what the recent filings show.
Out of curiosity, how would you summarize this trade? You said you were heavy short at 610 on Tuesday evening. I assume this means with large size. Then you said you were prepared to add at 652, which is 40 points higher, and it did get there. It got as high as almost 15700, so 90 points against your initial entry. You got out on Thursday evening (at least that is when you mentioned it) for only 20 points. It was much lower before the close on Thursday, but it seems like you were still in the trade at that time. Anyway, so I'm just trying to figure out how you categorize this trade. Was it a dud? When you added to the short, is this because you still believed in "tech trigger" that you use, or were you just "fixing" a trade going against you? Lastly, did you not exit when you had a much better profit because the aforementioned "tech trigger" wasn't flat yet? The initial entry went 90 points against you and you only took 20 points on I assume the average price, so I wonder what your thoughts about this trade are. Thanks.