But if direction IS called correctly, what other option plays offer gains of equal or better value than "the fly way out OTM and hit"?
Deep OTM verticals will often do better (1x1). Calendars on high skews/low strips. The problem with baby flies deep OTM is that they (can) flip delta.
Let’s try a fun experiment. Each week we can paper trade some butterflies on one volatile underlying and one nonvolatile one, and trade various flies on both and see how they perform each week. maybe one fly in SPY, one fly in TSLA or any other volatile stock like a RIOT or GME (as long as strikes are liquid) and another fly in a consolidation stock like a MMM or MCD.
That’s a bear of a book. Read about half and tapped out for the short while. Will be back but doing some more fundamental reading prior Best piece I got from the book, limits when buying gamma and blast the market when selling.
I like your idea. However, been there done that. Both my SPY and GILD flies are profitable. I should try GME next.