Designing an Automated Trading Program

Discussion in 'Journals' started by expiated, Dec 16, 2018.

  1. expiated

    expiated

    I just looked at an article on it by Adam Lemon...

    The way it works is this: the graphical interface takes a price feed from a currency pair, indicating the price and the position of the following moving averages on four different time frames (H1, H30, H15, M1):

    21 sma
    34 sma
    55 sma
    75 sma
    100 sma
    144 sma
    233 sma

    The price remains in the middle of each of the four indicators, and horizontal lines show where each of the moving averages listed above sits relating to the current price in each time frame. The indicators look a little like speed dials, and they also show the distance in pips from the current price to each of the moving averages. There are all kinds of trades you can try to take using this strategy, but the basic idea is to look for trends that have room to run on all four of the time frames before they hit one of the moving averages.


    But this does not quite jibe with my method of measuring price movement.
     
    #11     Dec 16, 2018
  2. expiated

    expiated

    The system is currently seeking to realize small gains from EURJPY and GBPUSD.

    upload_2018-12-16_16-49-11.png

    UPDATE: EURPY hit its target, but GBPUSD is stuck going nowhere. Still, that's what I like. Rack up small gains of 4 to 7 pips at a time in less than 60 minutes, and do it over and over again so that at the end of a given 24-hour cycle, you have a significant cumulative amount of profit.

    However I had a strategy I wanted to try based on price range that's not going to work due to the payoff being even smaller, like four pips or less. But in looking for an alternative, I might have seen something that make the above technique look like chump change (which it kind of is anyway, but it works for me).

    I think I'm going to try using the "outside 64 setup" as a pseudo-swing price range strategy with the green moving average as the trigger line and the central channel as the take profit target. If it works, it should lead to much more significant gains per trade without a lot less effort.
     
    Last edited: Dec 16, 2018
    #12     Dec 16, 2018
  3. expiated

    expiated

    I neglected to finish the above thought in the previous post.

    The system indicated I should reenter a long position when EURJPY pulled back to 128.28 and set my next take-profit target for 128.37. It also had me exit the GBPUSD position at 1.2578.

    UPDATE: So this time it took EURJPY less than 30 minutes to pick up another hand full of pips before pulling back to 128.34 (so far).
     
    Last edited: Dec 16, 2018
    #13     Dec 16, 2018
  4. expiated

    expiated

    My forecast model suggests that at 0.6796, NZDUSD has switched from a bearish to bullish sentiment. However, the central channel take-profit target is not going to work in this instance. When that's the case, a conservative goal of ten pips is what presently seems to be in order, or fifteen pips if one wishes to be more ambitious.

    Given the location of my stop loss, I'm making fifteen pips my goal.
     
    #14     Dec 16, 2018
  5. expiated

    expiated

    The forecast model suggests that EURJPY is finished with its intraday ascent, at least for the time being.

    EURJPYM5.png

    These NADEX binary option contracts I purchased 6.5 hours ago have a good chance of expiring at full value. But given that the yen pairs appear to be making an attempt to turn south and that anything can happen at the open of the London session, I'm going to go ahead an pocket the available profit right now.

    ScreenHunter_2824 Dec. 16 22.34.jpg
     
    Last edited: Dec 17, 2018
    #15     Dec 17, 2018
  6. expiated

    expiated

    Given that I am going to retire for the night, during which I cannot manage my positions, and that my system is not yet automatized, I am going to have to close my NZDUSD trade at 0.6805 for only about an approximate 8-pip gain...

    ScreenHunter_2826 Dec. 17 00.18.jpg
     
    Last edited: Dec 17, 2018
    #16     Dec 17, 2018
  7. Cheesy

    Cheesy

    Who is your broker? I have had a few strategies work well in FX, but I could not get around the spread unless I was with a prime broker, so I ended up not making any money.
     
    #17     Dec 17, 2018
  8. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    he is trading nadex.
     
    #18     Dec 17, 2018
  9. Cheesy

    Cheesy

    Aaahhh, ok it all makes sense now as to what he is trying to do. NO wonder he mentioned that FX is extremely predictable.
     
    #19     Dec 17, 2018
  10. expiated

    expiated

    This is preparation for the future. I might be partnering with someone with access to a programmer. Whether or not this ever happens will be contingent on everything being agreed upon all around, but this is a good exercise for me to define my system down to the minutest detail, either way. The broker we use, if we finalize a deal, will depend on the system developed by the programmer. That's one of the details I've already expressed the desire to hear more about.
     
    #20     Dec 17, 2018