Republicans, DeSantis Among Them, Appear Willing to Lynch Democracy https://flaglerlive.com/177997/republicans-democracy-lynching/
Does Hungary Offer a Glimpse of Our Authoritarian Future? American conservatives recently hosted their flagship conference in Hungary, a country that experts call an autocracy. Its leader, Viktor Orbán, provides a potential model of what a Trump after Trump might look like. https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/...y-offer-a-glimpse-of-our-authoritarian-future The Republican Party hasn’t adopted a new platform since 2016, so if you want to know what its most influential figures are trying to achieve—what, exactly, they have in mind when they talk about an America finally made great again—you’ll need to look elsewhere for clues. You could listen to Donald Trump, the Party’s de-facto standard-bearer, except that nobody seems to have a handle on what his policy goals are, not even Donald Trump. You could listen to the main aspirants to his throne, such as Governor Ron DeSantis, of Florida, but this would reveal less about what they’re for than about what they’re against: overeducated élites, apart from themselves and their allies; “wokeness,” whatever they’re taking that to mean at the moment; the overzealous wielding of government power, unless their side is doing the wielding. Besides, one person can tell you only so much. A more efficient way to gauge the current mood of the Party is to spend a weekend at the Conservative Political Action Conference, better known as CPAC. On a Friday in February, I arrived at the Rosen Shingle Creek resort, in Orlando. It was a temperate afternoon, and the Party faithful were spending it indoors, in the air-conditioning. I walked into a rotunda with potted palm trees and chaotically patterned carpeting. Shabbat services were about to begin, and a minyan of young men, give or take, roamed around in MAGA-themed yarmulkes. The CPAC dress code was big-tent: pants suits, sweatsuits, bow ties, bolos—anything, pretty much, except for an N95. A merch kiosk near the entrance sold Nancy Pelosi toilet paper, gold-sequinned purses shaped like handguns, and Trump 2024 T-shirts in every size and color. Even the staircases were sponsored—one by Fox News and another by Gettr, a social-media platform founded by Trump-campaign alumni. If you aligned yourself with it at just the right vantage, you could parse Gettr’s slogan, “Making Social Media Fun Again!” Otherwise, it looked like red-white-and-blue gibberish. Political rallies are for red-meat applause lines; think-tank conferences are for more measured policy discussions. The American Conservative Union, the group that organizes CPAC, tries to have it both ways. On Saturday, I spent a while in the main ballroom, watching a panel called “Put Him to Bed, Lock Her Up and Send Her to the Border.” “Him” referred to Joe Biden, “the hair-sniffing dementia patient in the White House”; the first “her,” of course, was Hillary Clinton; the second was Kamala Harris, who was lambasted as both an “empty pants suit” and a wily “Cersei Lannister.” That afternoon, Trump arrived, hosted a V.I.P. gathering featuring a spread of Big Macs under heat lamps, and took the stage, giving a ninety-minute stump speech to an ecstatic crowd, all but confirming his intention to run for President again. The policy discussions were mainly tucked away upstairs, in conference rooms with a tiny fraction of the foot traffic. One panel, on European populism, was called “More Brexits?” The moderator, an American named James Carafano, introduced the first speaker: Miklós Szánthó, the director of a Hungarian think tank called the Center for Fundamental Rights. (According to Átlátszó, an investigative-journalism outlet in Hungary, the Center for Fundamental Rights is secretly funded by the Hungarian government.) “He’s a real European,” Carafano, a foreign-policy analyst at the Heritage Foundation, said. “I know that because I saw him in Europe!” For decades, at conferences like CPAC, international exchanges were mostly assumed to flow in one direction: Americans exporting their largesse, and their ideology, to the rest of the world. At the first CPAC, in 1974, the keynote speaker, Governor Ronald Reagan, gave a rousing address about soldiers who had shed their “American-melting-pot blood in every corner of the world, usually in defense of someone’s freedom.” In recent years, as the future of the Republican Party has seemed increasingly up for grabs, American conservatives have shown more willingness to look abroad for ideas that they might want to try out back home. Szánthó, a stout man with a smartly tailored suit and a waxed mustache, began by quibbling with the panel’s title. “There will be no so-called Huxit,” he said, despite his country’s disagreements with “the deep state of Brussels.” Szánthó lives in Hungary, but he spoke fluent Fox News-inflected English. “When it comes to border protection, when it comes to the Jewish-Christian heritage of the Continent and of the European Union, or when it comes to gender ideology,” he continued, the Hungarians, nearly alone among citizens of Western nations, “step up for conservative values.” Hungary has a population comparable to Michigan’s and a G.D.P. close to that of Arkansas, but, in the imagination of the American right, it punches far above its weight. Viktor Orbán, the Prime Minister since 2010, is now the longest-serving head of state in the European Union, and one of the most fiercely nativist and traditionalist. Starting in 2013, he made a political foil out of George Soros, the Jewish financier who was born in Hungary but hasn’t lived there in decades, exploiting the trope of Soros as a nefarious international puppet master. During the refugee crisis of 2015, Orbán built a militarized fence along Hungary’s southern border, and, in defiance of both E.U. law and the Geneva Conventions, expelled almost all asylum seekers from the country. Relative to other European nations, Hungary hadn’t experienced a big influx of migrants. (Out-migration is actually more common.) But the refugees, most of them from Syria or other parts of the Middle East, were an effective political scapegoat—one that Orbán continues to flog, along with academics, “globalists,” the Roma, and, more recently, queer and trans people. Last year, Hungary passed a law banning sex education involving L.G.B.T.Q. topics in schools. Nine months later, in Florida, DeSantis signed a similar law, known as the “Don’t Say Gay” bill. DeSantis’s press secretary, talking about the inspiration for the law, reportedly said, “We were watching the Hungarians.” Experts have described Orbán as a new-school despot, a soft autocrat, an anocrat, and a reactionary populist. Kim Lane Scheppele, a professor of international affairs at Princeton, has referred to him as “the ultimate twenty-first-century dictator.” Some prominent American conservatives want nothing to do with him; but more have taken his side, pointing to Hungary as a potential model for America’s future. That afternoon, on the CPAC main stage, Dan Schneider, the executive director of the American Conservative Union, singled out Orbán for praise: “If you cannot protect your own borders, if you cannot protect your own sovereignty, none of the other rights can be protected. That’s what the Prime Minister of Hungary understands.” The house lights dimmed and a sort of political trailer played, set to melodramatic music. “For over a millennium, to be Hungarian meant to sail the rough seas of history,” a narrator intoned over a horror-movie-style montage: Mongol invaders, migrant caravans, a glowering George Soros, drag-queen story time. The lights came up, and Szánthó walked to the lectern, waving stiffly. “Hungary has fought wars, suffered unthinkable oppression, to gain and regain our liberty,” he said. In the current war, he went on, the enemy was “woke totalitarianism,” personified by George Soros (he paused for boos); the hero was “one of the true champions of liberty, a man you know well, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán” (a generous round of applause). He praised “President Trump” and tried to initiate a cheer of “Let’s go Brandon,” a substitute for “Fuck Joe Biden” used by right-wing culture warriors who spend too much time on the Internet. He quoted the old chestnut “Hard times create strong men,” although, the way he said it, it sounded like “strongmen.” And he invited the audience to join him at the next CPAC conference, the first to be hosted on European soil: CPAC Hungary. “You do not have to have emergency powers or a military coup for democracy to wither,” Aziz Huq, a constitutional-law professor at the University of Chicago, told me. “Most recent cases of backsliding, Hungary being a classic example, have occurred through legal means.” Orbán runs for reëlection every four years. In theory, there is a chance that he could lose. In practice, he has so thoroughly rigged the system that his grip on power is virtually assured. The political-science term for this is “competitive authoritarianism.” Most scholarly books about democratic backsliding (“The New Despotism,” “Democracy Rules,” “How Democracies Die”) cite Hungary, along with Brazil and Turkey, as countries that were consolidated democracies, for a while, before they started turning back the clock. Szánthó mentioned “Jewish-Christian heritage,” but there aren’t many practicing Jews left in Hungary. Orbán, in his speeches, often uses the phrase “Christian democracy,” which he portrays as under continual existential threat. Given that the vast majority of Hungarians, apparently including Orbán, do not attend church regularly, it seems plausible that his audience hears the word “Christian,” at least in part, as code for something else. “If we manage to uphold our country’s ethnic homogeneity and its cultural uniformity,” he said in 2017, “Hungary will be the kind of place that will be able to show other, more developed countries what they lost.” His constant theme is that only he can preserve Hungary for the (non-Muslim, ethnically Magyar) Hungarians—about as close as any European head of state will come to an explicit rejection of ethnic pluralism in favor of state-sanctioned white nationalism. For many of his American admirers, this seems to be a core element of his appeal. Lauren Stokes, a professor of European history at Northwestern University, told me, “The offer Orbán is making to global conservatives is: I alone can save you from the ravages of Islamization and totalitarian progressivism—and, in the face of all that, who has time for checks and balances and rules?” (Much more at above url)
Federalism is the check and balance of authoritarianism Question those who do not want Federalism. The suspects are those who want to federalize all powers
Throwing away kids’ COVID vaccines is criminal. Blame Florida’s anti-vaxx messaging https://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/editorials/article262928868.html Florida doctors are wasting potentially life-saving COVID shots for young children, throwing away vials that have been opened but not fully used because there’s not enough demand for the vaccine. That should be criminal. The world is still in the grips of a pandemic. More than 75,000 people in Florida have died of COVID. The world can’t afford to waste vaccines. But don’t blame doctors. No, this debacle should be laid directly at the feet of Gov. Ron DeSantis and his handpicked surgeon general, Joseph Ladapo. They’ve cast doubt and sowed suspicion about the shots. They’ve inserted the state into a discussion that should be between parents and their children’s doctors. They’ve decreed that Florida is opposed to COVID vaccines for young children, dismissing the risk to children as minimal. DEATHS REACH 422 Easy to say when it’s not your kids, not your risk. But what about kids who get it more than once? Or develop long COVID? Or even die from the virus? There have been 442 deaths of children under 4, nationally, as of last month. That’s a small number unless your child is one of those 442. Then, the callousness of Florida’s Republican leaders must be devastating. Doctors, as reported in the Miami Herald, are stuck in the middle, between the ever-more-intrusive state and their responsibilities to their patients. Florida won’t let state programs administer the vaccines for infants and toddlers (despite Food and Drug Administration emergency-use authorization), so doctors have to order the vaccines from other programs. The problem is, each vaccine vial contains 10 doses, and once a vial is opened, it has to be used within 12 hours. For previous vaccines, a doctor could order the shots in much smaller doses from the health department. LACK OF TRUST Doctors are also fighting another battle: distrust. In predominantly Black and Hispanic communities, which have been affected disproportionately by the pandemic, South Florida pediatricians told the Herald that Ladapo’s word carries more weight because he is Black. Having him come out against what most of them are advising — encouraging vaccination and following recommendations from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the FDA and pediatric medical associations — makes their jobs harder and causes more confusion. Some responsible parties have stepped up with counterprogramming. South Florida hospitals and county governments are planning public vaccination campaigns for newly eligible children. That may help. But we can see the widening effects of Florida’s anti-vaccine messaging: Publix supermarkets has said it won’t be offering the vaccine for young children “at this time.” Having to throw away COVID vaccines is a terrible waste and should never be happening. But deliberately sowing distrust in science and medicine, the way the state of Florida has? That may prove to be the bigger crime.
According to the polls, FL is an overwhelmingly pro-choice state. DeSantis and the Republican legislature are overwhelmingly pro-life. When FL had the chance to vote on $15 minimum wage, we did. If FL got to vote on legalizing marijuana, we would. The government does not reflect the views of the people, it reflects the views of a small minority who vote in primaries. The reason Republicans win so easily in FL is the Democrats are even worse. What wins politically in FL: 1. Low taxes 2. Low crime/law and order 3. Civil libertarianism (pro-choice, marijuana legalization, gay marriage, basically leave me alone if I'm not bothering others) 4. Worker dignity (affordable housing, fair wages, right to unionize) Democrats fall short on the first two while the GOP falls short on the latter. In the end, people are more likely to vote based on the first two. However, DeSantis did get credit for his more libertarian-minded Covid response than the Democrats had even if he's been a suck up to the religious right on the others.
Unlike traditional Christian conservatives DeSantis does not have any deeply held beliefs regarding gays in society. He just finds using anti-gay issues a convenient method of demeaning his political opponents by calling them "groomers" to advance his political career. The Political Strategy of Ron DeSantis’s “Don’t Say Gay” Bill In American politics, ideology is often a smoke screen for individual ambition https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-...l-strategy-of-ron-desantiss-dont-say-gay-bill
You are ignoring the reality that Crist is up by a point over DeSantis in Florida in recent 2022 gubernatorial polls. https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/desantis-the-authoritarian.367828/page-5#post-5623268 DeSantis is only beloved by his base -- and not much more.