DeSantis for the win

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Tsing Tao, May 21, 2020.

  1. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    That's the French side right?
     
    #811     Jul 13, 2020
  2. jem

    jem

    Our cruise and trip through Europe was cancelled. I would have been leaving in a week our two. I was really looking forward to seeing St. Petersburg this summer.

    We were refunded all our money. Airfare and cruise costs.

    I thought we were going to have to take at least some vouchers... but the policies seemed to have changed for the better. So maybe next summer. I will try to go with the same companies.




     
    Last edited: Jul 13, 2020
    #812     Jul 13, 2020
  3. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    You're still not going to have 104 people test positive if you test 104 random people.
     
    #813     Jul 13, 2020
  4. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    We'll be staying on the French side but the island is both French and Dutch.
     
    #814     Jul 13, 2020
  5. kingjelly

    kingjelly

    It's possible if you don't report the negatives, which is why I said the positivity rate may be higher that reported, should have said IS higher, no doubt.
     
    #815     Jul 13, 2020
  6. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    I'm sorry, please explain how the true positive rate would be higher than being reported if you omit the negatives from the reporting.\

    If you have 100 people and you report them all positive, then you have a positive test rate of 100%. If you suddenly add 50 negatives to the data, then the positive rate is now 67%. Or do I not understand how this works?
     
    #816     Jul 14, 2020
  7. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Case count continues to tick up (as reported) but there is clearly a lag on negative tests results (as shown in yesterday's testing data). This wouldn't change positive test numbers, though, just the percentage positive.

    Deaths (as counted on date of death, not reported) also continue to show an uptrend but it should be noted that the high is around 71 deaths in a day, which is considerably under many states with much worse numbers. Please note that recent days will be updated as more deaths are reported...these are not final numbers.

    upload_2020-7-14_7-34-55.png

    More than half of the cases and deaths are in the Miami area.

    And finally, the chart on Excess Deaths from the CDC where total death count vs. expected trend (trend expectations did not include COVID).

    upload_2020-7-14_7-38-0.png

    While data continues to come in on last two weeks, total deaths are slightly over expected levels but down considerably from the 2017-18 flu season.
     
    #817     Jul 14, 2020
    fan27 likes this.
  8. kingjelly

    kingjelly

    Yeah, I meant being reported as higher than the actual.
     
    Last edited: Jul 14, 2020
    #818     Jul 14, 2020
  9. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Ah, then we certainly agree!
     
    #819     Jul 14, 2020
  10. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    I think he's gone.
     
    #820     Jul 14, 2020