In order to beat Trump the nominee will have to take some Trump voters. Despite Haley gaining momentum and possibly eclipsing DeSantis for 2nd, I think DeSantis is the only one who has a fighting chance against Trump head to head. I just feel he's viewed more favorably/in-step with Trump voters than Haley is. Haley is too much from the old establishment. Haley+Christie voters form more of an old school anti-Trump coalition. DeSantis-Vivek represent more of where 2/3 of the party is.
while she's the preferable of all evils from the right, I agree that the GQP base is still too engrained in fanaticism so the party risks losing w/Haley. I doubt the couch sitters would care enough to go for Haley as preferable to Biden. Now, how's your campaign doing?
Eclipsing DeCantis for 2nd is not a victory when they are all 40-45 points minimum behind Trump. Like fighting to be the first loser.
Indeed. As discussed, it would be one thing if all of Desantis's supporters were never-trumpers and Haley then drove Desantis out. But it is not like that. If Desantis goes down then many of his supporters would just revert to Trump. Maybe not all but probably little to no net gain for Haley. Not sure. Lots of charts and data flying around. I would like to see more data on who the second choice is for Desantis supporters.
I’m seeing some real momentum in Iowa. Just might pull it off. Plan to ride this one all the way to the convention!