Good back peddling. Still can't back up your claims that I support all the crazy stuff you said I did, and still can't refute any of the data. And while "others" are evaluating, let's have them evaluate this GWB Greatest Hit: Not following social distance guidelines during a pandemic is no different than shooting them with a gun. Same risk (according to you) and same level of danger. LOL!
So let me ask if you are a vent & trach nurse in a hospital full of COVID cases are you more likely to die of COVID or being shot by a gun. You sort through the statistical math and provide me with an answer.
Remember, the claim was that 2000 deaths had occurred in 20 days (from UsualName) on September 28. Putting aside his ability to see into the future (because this was just deaths reported, not the date they died), you then doubled down by saying the above: 1500 deaths in 30 days and the COVID dashboard showed 2000 deaths is likely. We're keeping a tally on this. The time period is Sept 8 to Sept 28 (the 28th was when UsualName made the claim you backed up). The total as of today??? 996 Deaths on Date of Death Ooooh...so close. What do we have for him, Johnny? Game Show Voice: "Well, Tsing we've got a weekend free pass to the backyard when he can escape the self-quarantine that has been making him into the lunatic we all know and love!!" (crowd cheers) "Some hours in the sun and crisp autumn air will do him good..." Don't worry, GWB. We'll check back again in a week to see if the number doubles and gets to the 2000 mark like you said it would. Don't lose hope! It still might.
But that's not what you said at all. You didn't say that "a nurse in a hospital full of COVID cases" is more likely to die of COVID vs. being shot. You said that me "protesting" by not social distancing guidelines was the same as shooting your family with a gun. They are not even in the solar system as each other.
Where are we at, Johnny?? Ooooh....not 600 per day, but 99 per day according to Worldometers - and this is the reported number, not the date of death number (which is considerably lower). And GWB said by end of August. Here we are middle of October. Why would he be so far off on the number?? What would possibly be the reason he would make such a prediction?? Off by 6 times! Ah, I see. Maybe he should have gone with some Demon Sperm? Couldn't have made the forecast any worse!
Well first, let me mention my problem with your total... the period of September 8 to September 28 is 21 days, not 20 days. The first day should be dropped from the total -- it is important to look at the correct period. The Florida DOH data (you provided the url) by date of death is below for the date range. Sept 8th should not be included in the 20 day total. 9/8 67 9/9 80 9/10 61 9/11 64 9/12 42 9/13 53 9/14 61 9/15 56 9/16 51 9/17 44 9/18 45 9/19 43 9/20 37 9/21 49 9/22 52 9/23 47 9/24 29 9/25 38 9/26 35 9/27 27 9/28 25 The total for the 20 days from Sept 9 to Sept 28 is currently 939. Adding September 8 would make the total of 21 days be 1006. It is good to note that the DOH website states that it takes several weeks for Data of Death to be allocated so the numbers above are likely to change. On average Florida has been reporting over 100 deaths per day. Once these reported date are allocated by date of death (weeks later) then it is likely that a total for a 20 days period will hit 2000 -- this is how math works.
GWB does not understand the idea of community immunity. He does not understand the idea that for the low risk group this is the flu. He does not understand that if you let the low risk group build immunity you are actually protecting your people far better than lockdowns of the low risk. He would rather everyone else following the leftist politicians and be fearful idiots... than look at the data and do the smart thing. How many times has he predicted the end of Sweden... the end of Texas... the end of Florida... He has been wrong about almost everything... everyday.
Yeah, I know. No point in going back to change the formula once I realized it, as it would only hurt your case even more. So I gave you that. No, it's not how math works, dopey. We're not talking about 100 deaths per day, because those are reported deaths. Go back and read - we were discussing DATE OF DEATH. And Date of Death numbers aren't 100 per day. Not even close.