Thanks, brother. On the west coast of FL we got no rain and some nice breezes to help with the heat. Wonder how El Cubano did. He's down there in Hurricane Central. The only one closer to the storm than he is Jim Santori.
Texas was about 4 weeks before the Florida spike. Remember all the stories about everyone in Texas dying? Their numbers aren't great, but where is all the carnage? And please, I can google articles if I want. I'm looking for the numbers and specific data.
I haven't overestimated it since I haven't forecast anything. What I did so in the past was 40-60 deaths was too many and that the massive spike in infections 1-2 months ago was problematic and could easily lead to even higher death rates. And it did. Given that I have no idea how responsible ( or otherwise ) the people of Florida are now, I have no idea what will actually occur in the near future. Recent day's numbers look promising.
Seems like it was the beach decisions that were problematic. I say that because California had similar problems in Orange County were some beaches were opened perhaps early Its not intuitive that the beach would be a big problem but maybe the virus is in perspiration as well as respiratory droplets.
I'm not so sure the beach had anything to do with it honestly. In Florida, over 50% of the deaths were in nursing homes. They weren't at the beach. They weren't at clubs either so there is likely a combination of multiple reasons. Of the infected, most were in the younger cohort. Bars, clubs, etc. The young got sick and tired of being locked down, knew they weren't at risk and said "fuck it".
Wow. What a shocker. You mean to say that if you incentivize hospitals down a particular path of financial input after removing their primary source of income (elective surgery) they might try to game the system? Whocouldanode??