Democrats start to hit the panic button

Discussion in 'Politics' started by wildchild, Oct 9, 2024.

  1. RedDuke

    RedDuke

    Anti Trump coalition is too broad. He mathematically can not win. That being said, some black swam can change it of course.
     
    #51     Oct 10, 2024
  2. Good1

    Good1

    Screenshot_20241010-155537.png

    Above is a graph from election evening 2016.

    Because Trump was expected to lose, the betting market was giving $5 for each $1 bet on Trump.

    I felt Trump had at least a 50% chance of winning despite the polls showing Clinton way ahead.

    So I took that bet with $200 and walked away with $1000.

    I would not make that bet today because the race is much tighter, according to the polls, and because of the proven ability and willingness to steal at least 5% of the total vote for the DNC.

    The polls are more believable this time, the pollsters having learned their lesson from the Trump-Clinton race that they more deliberately skewed in favor of Clinton thinking that would generate more votes for Clinton at the ballots. It was so bad it too fooled wagerers on the betting markets.

    Not this time.

    Trump needs to win by an actual 8% in order to win by 3% tallied.

    This is due to:

    A) The media has fallen in line with the DNC choice for Harris and has given her a 12% boost.
    B) There have not been enough investigations, prosecutions, precautions, and legislations to ensure this election will be fair, unlike last election.
    C) Because of B, there will be enough stealing to move total percentages by 5%.

    Thus, some 17% can be considered astro-turfed and stolen.

    That being the case, the actual odds are 50/50 (although Trump would win in a fair election).

    So, it is on a knifes edge. The bet is not so much about Trumps ability to win as it is about the DNC ability to steal.

    Musk is right though. This will be the last election if Trump doesn't win.

    There will be "elections" where there are "ballots" that you can "cast a vote" upon.

    But, just as there was an election recently in Venezuela, and before that Brazil, elections will not actually be an "election" but rather another selection.

    They are able to astro-turf and steal 17% today. If they are able to remain in power another four years, that percentage will rise to 36%, as it is in Venezuela.
     
    Last edited: Oct 10, 2024
    #52     Oct 10, 2024
  3. Coin Flip

    Coin Flip

    You do realize the election can be rigged such that votes will be stolen in order to benefit Trump and hurt Harris.
     
    #53     Oct 10, 2024
    spy likes this.
  4. spy

    spy

    Is it too late to run Pete Buttigieg?
     
    #54     Oct 11, 2024
  5. ;)

    upload_2024-11-6_5-15-54.png
     
    #55     Nov 6, 2024
  6. upload_2024-11-6_5-17-44.png
     
    #56     Nov 6, 2024
  7.  
    #57     Nov 6, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 and traderob like this.
  8. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    You guys have a recent history of electing poor or unsuitable Presidents. That indicates a system that doesn't work. It is just common sense that a two party system is very open to mistakes. The very people who get excited when they "win" an election are the ones who are often deeply disappointed by the results in their lives that follow.
     
    Last edited: Nov 7, 2024
    #58     Nov 7, 2024
    Atlantic likes this.
  9. Gay is so yesterday. Pete needs to throw on a dress and become Patricia to have a chance. Chop off his dick to show full commitment to the cause.
     
    #59     Nov 7, 2024
  10. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Huh?
     
    #60     Nov 7, 2024