In the same week the U.S. Senate passed a major financial reform bill touted as reining in Wall Street, Democrats pulled ahead of Republicans, 49% to 43%, in voters' generic ballot preferences for the 2010 congressional elections. The Democrats' six-point advantage in Gallup Daily interviewing from July 12-18 represents the first statistically significant lead for that party's candidates since Gallup began weekly tracking of this measure in March. It's possible the increased voter support for Democratic candidates this past week is linked with the Wall Street regulatory reform bill that passed in the U.S. Senate last Thursday, July 15. The financial reform bill is the second-biggest piece of legislation to get through Congress this year, after healthcare reform, and it enjoyed majority support. According to a USA Today/Gallup poll in June, 55% of Americans were in favor of legislation expanding government regulation of financial institutions -- including 72% of Democrats and 56% of independents. Only Republicans were generally opposed. Last week also marks the second time that Republican enthusiasm for the fall elections has increased after congressional passage of a major Democrat-sponsored bill. Perhaps these events sharpen Republicans' focus on the opportunity to change Washington in November. Such animation could be crucial to turnout this fall, which could in turn determine the outcome of the midterms. Since 1950, Gallup's final generic ballot measure, based on likely voters, has closely matched the total percentage of votes cast nationally for Democratic and Republican candidates in all 435 U.S. House races -- a statistic that bears a predictable relationship to the number of House seats won by each party. Gallup does not screen for likely voters until closer to Election Day, but historically, Republicans' turnout advantage in midterm elections changes the Republican-Democrat gap by five percentage points in the GOP's favor. Thus, if these numbers held through Election Day, the two parties would be nearly tied at the ballot box, with possibly a slight advantage for the Democrats. http://www.gallup.com/poll/141440/Democrats-Jump-Six-Point-Lead-Generic-Ballot.aspx
I liked this part. Thanks for posting Last week also marks the second time that Republican enthusiasm for the fall elections has increased after congressional passage of a major Democrat-sponsored bill. Perhaps these events sharpen Republicans' focus on the opportunity to change Washington in November. Such animation could be crucial to turnout this fall, which could in turn determine the outcome of the midterms.
Only proving that the average American still hasn't a clue as to how bad they're getting screwed. Just give'em a smile and a kiss and they'll bend over for ya'. Then Uncle Sugar can just ram it home.:eek:
I'd trust Simon Johnson more than I'd trust any of you. For once, the people seem to have judged the contents of a major bill correctly. Making sure no bank gets away with too big to fail nonsense again is the single most important thing that was needed out of reform, and it's in there. It's no surprise the bought-and-paid-for Republicans are against this.
On a philosophical level, if the people are happy, then they're happy. Who are we to introduce discontent into their minds? That's our hangup.
How come you never followed up this post detailing the dishonesty of Gallup for tweaking the numbers in this 'unbiased' poll?
It's your thread. You're the intellectual and the seeker of truth. It's your mission to expose all conservatives as race baiting evil doers who must be exposed. So step up to the plate and expose the truth of what Gallup did. OR is the truth not important?