Death rate

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by zdreg, Nov 29, 2020.

  1. zdreg

    zdreg

    CDC says COVID-19 cases in U.S. may be 8 times higher than reported.

    Does this mean that the death rate from the virus is1/8 of the reported rate?
     
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    For each case reported (via testing) there are likely 7 other infections estimated in the U.S. population.

    The known Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is calculated based on known deaths and cases. It is currently 2.5%.

    The estimated Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) is calculated based on known deaths and estimated infections in the population. It is somewhere between 0.2% and 0.8%. The latest U.S. wide figures had the IFR at around 0.6% but this latest information makes it appear to be 0.31%. However the estimated number of deaths due to COVID is probably 20% higher than the current confirmed deaths from COVID in the U.S. - which increases the numerator.
     
    KCalhoun likes this.
  3. zdreg

    zdreg

    02.5/8=.0031 right on target. For every 10000 reported cases there would be 31 deaths.
     
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2020
  4. Overnight

    Overnight

    Everyone...Pretty please, with sugar on top. Wear the fucking mask.