You laid out 2 scenarios. That's not very difficult to do considering there are only 3 possible outcomes of the market either moving higher, lower or consolidating. 1) Inside Day mostly moving higher, i.e., a positive consolidation day 2) Continuation lower below 3920.
Well, first of all, I said it was very unlikely that we'd trade above 4005 today. Further, I said that my main scenario for the day was an Inside Day with the 2nd scenario being continuation below 3920. I'd say that was very accurate for how the day played out and considering it was done pre-market.
Bruh I have given countless callouts that were right on target and that isn't even 1% on discord where I use to be a top analyst but you don't see me acting all high & almighty. If it's one thing I've learned as an analyst on the discord giving out profitable callouts/predictions is way easier than actual trading. There is no emotion or fear of loss so it's easier to stay rational. Don't get ahead of yourself!
Reread your analysis for the past couple of months. Everyone has 2-3 scenarios and chock full of maybe’s and if’s and but. The confidence level you write, one would think you’re printing money but of course that’s not the case. You get plenty of likes but likes don’t make you or your readers money.
Where do you see me acting all high and almighty? You called me out for hindsight analysis and I simply showed you that I made that prediction in advance. That's all. Top analyst on 2 trading servers? That's really nice. 5 minutes ago you were complaining about algos stopping you out left and right and chopping you up and now all of a sudden you're a top analyst on 2 trading servers.
I don't have the faintest idea who you are and I have never seen you make a comment to suggest you know anything about trading. You have the occasional fun comment, but those are getting a bit old as well. Don't you have anything better to do than to read all the posts of someone who's clearly not printing money? Feel free to stop stalking me.
As I said above posts. Giving out calls means shiet. There is no emotion or the fear of loss. No matter how much your calls are fire for others when it comes to your own trading it's a completely different story. Giving out profitable callouts is easy, it's trading that is hard. If you think I am bluffing go to infinityoptions and lookup GotherL Btw! You did make some points and I am not mad or anything. Just felt like you were lowkey schooling on my post.
Agreed. Disagree. If making a profitable call is easy - I invite you or anyone else to make a prediction for today's action on the e-mini S&P 500. Actually, it was mostly meant for the other poster who seemed to suggest that ES is unpredictable and un-tradeable. Regardless, what I said is true and probably applicable for you as well. The market has different modes and what some call chop is often the case with ES. Trading chop is easy if you recognize chop. Buy lows and sell highs. Trading chop is hard if you're expecting trend/continuation and buy/sell near a high/low. Just as trading a trend is hard if you're expecting chop (range bound) and the market continues moving against you. I know someone who never trades chop and will simply wait for a very clear trend. I make no claims about being a master trader, although I will say I know a thing or two about the e-mini S&P 500. I'm still learning and improving. Consistent profitability in ES isn't easy by any means.
ES will close +1.5% from previous close. With a 1% conviction of course. 100/1 80% that it closes below +1.5% 20% that it closes above +1.5%
I really don't waste my time trying to predict the market anymore after transitioning to futures. With options it makes more sense since your holding for longer periods. Just trade price action and go off the 5m, 1m charts.