Daytrader quiz

Discussion in 'Trading' started by earth_imperator, Apr 16, 2023.

  1. easymon1

    easymon1

    Online math forum
    https://www.dogpile.com/serp?q=Online+math+forum
     
    #11     Apr 16, 2023
  2. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    #12     Apr 16, 2023
  3. The monthly PnL% is 6.5316%, determined iteratively, ie. in a for loop for the 21 days of the month. Then one can apply the said compound interest formula.
     
    Last edited: Apr 16, 2023
    #13     Apr 16, 2023
  4. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Maybe …

    What you iterate is 0.3% per day over 21 days.
    But your strategy doesn’t deliver 0.3% per day.

    0D9FC7E8-F270-43DE-82D1-A89B663A4D56.jpeg

    More like 0.24% if S1 ( (1.015 * 0.99) ^ (1/2) - 1)
    Which means 83% per year ( 1.0024 ^ 252 - 1 )

    2DB0F737-2CCB-44EE-89D1-BAB3C53141D6.jpeg
     
    Last edited: Apr 16, 2023
    #14     Apr 16, 2023
    earth_imperator likes this.
  5. @Sekiyo, no need to calculate the daily rate; just use the monthly rate for 12 periods, ie:
    PnL% = 100 * (1 + 6.5316 / 100)^12 - 100 = +113.67%

    For the first and last "100" (bold above), one can take the StartCapital. In above calc it simply is $100.
     
    Last edited: Apr 16, 2023
    #15     Apr 16, 2023
  6. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Please tell me the % change over 2 days
    Once you gain 1.5% then lose 1%

    @earth_imperator
     
    #16     Apr 16, 2023
  7. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    1.015 * 0.99 - 1
    It’s 0.485%

    1.00485 ^ (1/2) - 1
    In average, per day it’s 0.242%

    1.00242206679 ^ 21 - 1
    Monthly it’s 5.21%

    1.00242206679 ^ 252 - 1
    Yearly it’s 83.97%

    That’s my last words
    Should have been my 1st ones.

    Sorry for all the fluff
     
    #17     Apr 16, 2023
    ondafringe likes this.
  8. It's a little bit complicated as well tricky b/c the last day of the month (ie. the 21th trading day) is a win day, and the next trading day (ie. the first trading day of the next month) is again a win day... :) So, it's not easy to calculate from the monthly result the daily PnL%. Rather one can do it only from the end result...:
    1d: 0.30174705107432565300 Yes, you right above: it*s 0.3% per day.
    2d: 0.60440461497697182400
     
    Last edited: Apr 16, 2023
    #18     Apr 16, 2023
    Sekiyo likes this.
  9. Overnight

    Overnight

    This is all fine and good. But does it help you predict where the price of your instrument is going TOMORROW? That is what it important for the day trader, yes?
     
    #19     Apr 16, 2023
  10. With spread-like constructs one is as a daytrader not really bound to the day anymore... :) One can hold it longer since a loss is automatically capped by the intrinsics of the spread options itself.
     
    #20     Apr 16, 2023