Day & Night trading Derivatives Futures

Discussion in 'Journals' started by maxinger, Aug 31, 2019.

  1. maxinger

    maxinger

    cont ...

    US index futures

    It went down during mid Asian session.
    Now it is going side way & has found its comfort zone.
    No more thick slab of juicy melt-in-mouth wagyu beef .
    Only left with crumbs, skin, bone, insides.
    Not worth trading such market.

    Such market is called D market
    (dead, deadly, doom, damn, disastrous, damaging, dangerous,
    demonic, devilish ....)
    my goodness! letter D is probably the most negative character.
    Those world war 2 commanders must have studied characters in great detail
    and choose character D for D day.



    only a powerful presidential twitt or equivalent can market
    get out of D market.



    things might change later. Anyway
    Time to watch Netflix program. Then sleep.
     
    Last edited: Apr 1, 2020
    #221     Apr 1, 2020
  2. trader1974

    trader1974

    How do you know when it is better not to operate?
     
    #222     Apr 1, 2020
  3. maxinger

    maxinger

    as mentioned in my previous posting, I avoid trading those futures which move
    in erratic chaotic violent manner.

    I look at charts visually.
    Some traders use indicators to check for trendiness.
    I don't use any indicator.
     
    #223     Apr 2, 2020
    trader1974 likes this.
  4. maxinger

    maxinger

    es.png
    hmm. ES day range is going down. it is still rather high.
    ideally it should be around 50 points.

    hope the FREEZING problem will be over soon.
     
    #224     Apr 2, 2020
    trader1974 likes this.
  5. trader1974

    trader1974

    So when the daily candles are small range it is better not to operate.
    I have a positive week but then in a day that the market does not move I lose everything.
    It is frustrating.
     
    #225     Apr 2, 2020
  6. maxinger

    maxinger


    Some futures tend to have rather small day range (eg corn, soya, wheat, short term bonds ...).
    i don't trade that.


    Some have rather big day range (eg India Nifty, HO, RB )
    but difficult to earn money due to untrendliness or very wide bid offer spread


    So I trade things like index futures, long term bonds, oil, gold .... which tend to have big range. but it if not trendy, it is difficult to earn money.
    to check for trendiness, look at past few hours candle sticks.
    yesterday, during end Eur and early US session, US index futures were moving in rather erratic chaotic manner. checking for trendiness is an art.
    At times, I got my trendiness analysis wrong, and I missed great opportunity or I suffer losses.
     
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2020
    #226     Apr 2, 2020
    trader1974 likes this.
  7. trader1974

    trader1974

    But for example today the range of the daily candle in crude oil is small compared to other futures, but today the future of crude oil has the most profitability.
    Because the crude is only at $ 22, the daily candle range is small but in reality it is the one that moves the most, right?
     
    #227     Apr 2, 2020
  8. trader1974

    trader1974

    IMG_20200402_152547.jpg
     
    #228     Apr 2, 2020
  9. trader1974

    trader1974

    Agree.
    Now I understand.
    It is the same to buy a future at 6000 and sell at 7000, as to buy the same future at 12000 and sell at 13000.
    So, profitability doesn't matter.
    Import the range.
    Now I understand.
     
    #229     Apr 2, 2020
  10. maxinger

    maxinger

    as mentioned in earlier posting, crude oil tends to have wide day range.

    today crude oil chart is rather trendy ; uptrend started around mid Asian session.
    do note lately crude oil tends to move during asian session.

    occassionally crude oil movement could be chaotic and that's where chances of losing money is high
     
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2020
    #230     Apr 2, 2020
    trader1974 likes this.