Daily Market Analysis

Discussion in 'Trading' started by IRIStrader, Oct 26, 2010.


    U.S. equities market looked weak at opening as the dollar got strengthened. In addition to that,
    housing data did not give investors any reasons to cheer on Tuesday. The Standard & Poor/Case-Shiller
    reported a rise of +1.7% for the average price of a single home for the month of August. A Bloomberg
    survey said that Wall Street economists were expecting the data to be up +2.1%.

    GOOD NEWS FOR THE BULLS, at 10 AM EST, the Conference Board lightened up investors' mood
    with a rosier report. Consumer confidence for the month of October rose to 50.2; this showed a great
    improvement from September data at 48.6. Economists expected a 50 reading on the average, in
    according to Market-Watch Research.


    Ken Goldstein, an economist at the Conference Board stated that consumers are still worrying
    about the high unemployment rate. Brent Wilsey, President of Wilsey Asset Management
    believed the consumer spending is a better indicator of economy recovery than consumer
    confidence index. Both Goldstein and Wilsey said the consumer spending data after the Christmas
    holidays and midterm election might be a little troublesome. These data will be watched closely
    by economists to determine the true health of economy.

    While economists continue with their usual cautious tones, consumers are on a shopping
    spree with luxury goods. Coach Inc. reported a better-than-expected earning report on Tuesday;
    COH shares up +10.41% to a new 52 weeks high at $49.33 by 11:23AM EST. Tiffany & Co shares
    also went to a fresh new 52 weeks high at $52.50, up %1.28. According to The Street.com, there
    is a report by Bain & Co., a global consulting firm, predicting a phenomenon growth of +10% for
    luxury sector for 2010. This is an inspiring news since there was a decline of -9% for luxury
    products sale in 2009.

    For the short term, the S&P 500 has strong supports at EMA(8)= 1176.58 and EMA(21)=1165.69.
    With good earning season upon us, there is a very likely chance that the market would take out
    the recent high at 1196.14 and hit the psychological level at 1200. We would trade long
    ONLY stocks that have a better-than-expected earning data.


    Best regards to all, and good luck in your trading.
    Disclosure: No positions at the time of writing.