Daily Journal With New Model (not Technical or FundamentalAnalysis)

See the post below, i will use 1:1 SL/PT, setup the position before market close.

 

If you really worry for large gap, you can use option to leverage this.
A simple ITM or ATM call or put with > 30days to expiration will do the trick

 

I am not really worried about a large gap, but I think you should be really worried about one.

 

Not a great day, one winner and three losers.

INTC - Win
AMD - Lose
FB - Lose
MSFT - Lose

% of winning = 1/8 = 12.5%

 

10/13 Prediction

INTC - close higher. SL/PT = $0.7
AMD - close lower. SL/PT = $1.4
FB - close higher. SL/PT = $7
MSFT - close lower. SL/PT = $3.1

 

Result:
INTC - lose
AMD - win
FB - lose
MSFT = win
Cumulative % of winning = 3/12 = 25%

 

10/14 Prediction:
INTC - close lower. SL/PT = $1.2
AMD - close lower SL/PT = $1.6
FB - close higher SL/PT = $5.5
MSFT - close lower SL/PT = $3.5

 

INTC - lose
AMD - win
FB - lose
MSFT - win

Cumulative % of winning = 5/16 = 32%

 

10/15 Prediction
INTC - close lower. SL/PT = $0.8
AMD - close lower. SL/PT = $1.3
FB - close lower. SL/PT = $7.4
MSFT close lower. SL/PT = $2.3

 

INTC - lose
AMD - lose
FB - Win
MSFT - No change, scratch
Cumulative % of winning = 7/19 = 37%