Daily Journal With New Model (not Technical or FundamentalAnalysis)

Discussion in 'Journals' started by galvinlee888, Oct 10, 2020.

  1. I have my own trading method which I have used for past 20 years.
    This is the model that i develop during my free time (my trading not required me to be 7/24, I am not those day traders or 99% losers). The model and concept is from me. The full code is written with me and another person.
     
    #101     Nov 16, 2020
  2. The interesting part is the prediction is almost accurate (at least 75%) until the last one hour, but this is what the market gives, nothing to complaint for.
     
    #102     Nov 16, 2020
  3. also, fyi, the price prediction is very close to the close price today (< 0.5%), may signal a whipsaw market for tomorrow. This is just what the model predict
     
    #103     Nov 16, 2020
  4. rb7

    rb7

    What was the original goal of this thread again?
    It looks like after 100 predictions, your model is not working.
     
    #104     Nov 16, 2020

  5. If after a large amount of tris (~150) and if it is still not working, then 'retune' or just scrap it.
     
    #105     Nov 16, 2020
  6. deaddog

    deaddog

    How are you expecting it to work? Win rate is only a small part of trading. Mine is less than 50%.
     
    #106     Nov 16, 2020
  7. rb7

    rb7

    That's why I asked what was the goal of this thread.
    Show the world how good he is for predicting stock price for his self esteem?
    He doesn't seem to seek for advice or trying to improve by receiving comments and suggestions.
    He doesn't seem to want to share his knowledge with the ET community.

    He could just do the same but without telling anyone.

    The only thing he shows is that his model is not working. But I don't think that anyone here give it a damn.
    This thread was promising at the beginning. But after 1 month of this....
     
    #107     Nov 16, 2020
    themickey likes this.
  8. themickey

    themickey

    Totally agree, this thread seems to be about making lots of noise, no discernable content.
    I was hoping OP would show some interest, some motivation in answering my question re the formation of his model, even just for the sake of enlightening and bringing some journal interest, but alas, OP could hardly bring himself around to volunteering anything.
    There's another journal like it, 'Diary of an LSE stock trader' where the motivation of the journal imo is not about ET but about hoping to impress in order to get PM's from prospective customers or other vendors.
    Boring, these type posters usually make it onto my ignore or block list due to lack of content and abundance of time waste.
     
    #108     Nov 16, 2020
    rb7 likes this.
  9. 11/17 Prediction

    INTC - Close Higher
    AMD - Close Lower
    MSFT - Close Higher
    FB - Close Higher
     
    #109     Nov 17, 2020
  10. INTC - Win
    AMD - Win
    MSFT - Win
    FB - Win

    Cumulative % of winning = 53/103 = 51%
     
    #110     Nov 17, 2020