I wish... but then we'll truly have to deal with every 'I told you so' bear preaching every second how MSTR is about to blow up on margin calls. As a side-note, don't forget... as Michael Burry points out your real losses for the year are under-estimated because no one is factoring in their true losses due to inflation.
Because you are posting "Can" without realism. You are saying that we are going to drop another 50% percent on the SP. WHY? And some would answer, "why not"? Ask yourselves that question. It is ludicrous, because we do not have lockdowns, we do not have a slowing job market, we do not have travel restrictions! We are gong to drift lower until the Fed pauses, but the March 2020 lows? You are nuts!
what is nuts is you discounting such possibility all together. We have not seen real tightening for close to 2 decades.
Well that's just brilliant. So you think real tightening cannot occur until we get back to a 10-12 percent rate? All or nothing, eh? No moderation. Fine, I'm with you, babe. Let's hike to 50%. Why the hell not. That would be REAL tightening, yes?
In fact, these were the complete results of your "Grinch Selloff" : UVXY 23.52 --> 15.22 ( - 35% ) TZA 31.08 --> 37.38 ( + 12% ) SQQQ 34.55 --> 37.38 ( +8% ) SCO 16.30 --> 9.70 ( -40% ) KOLD 52.75 --> 28.99 ( -45% ) . Posted April 23rd, 2022 : So this is your most relevant forecast at the moment. Yes, I saw you pushing the time frame since as you are prone to do.
Thanks for the heads up, yeah looks like I'm only 2/5 with those numbers. I still firmly believe those will all do well, but it's taking far longer than I thought it would. Those continue to be my top picks, UVXY SQQQ KOLD SCO TZA for etfs I believe have the most upside.