Cup and handle follow-up days

Discussion in 'Strategy Development' started by Pekelo, Jul 29, 2009.

  1. Pekelo


    The strategy is simple:

    After a cup and handle pattern the next day is in the red, so go short at the end of the handle/close of the day.

    This year cup and handle days were:

    2/20, 4/5, 5/12, 6/2, 7/28

    In all 5 examples the next days were down...

    Here is how yesterday looked:

  2. Pekelo


    Well, today was such a day. We will see if the pattern is still working after 6 years...
  3. Pekelo


    It still is for sure, overnight the ES futures dropped 20 points below yesterday's close.....
  4. Pekelo


    Hey, long time no see, my little cup and handle pattern, let's see if it still works!!!

    The baseline is 1852 ES....

    With this volatility we should see a 20-30 pts drop from here, although the daily hammer is rather bullish...
  5. Pekelo


    Sure enough it worked. Overnight it finished the handle part (went up above 1875 on the chart) and dropped from there 30 pts, so far bottoming at 1840 (ES, 1850 on the chart):

  6. Pekelo


    I didn't post it yesterday, because you should be able to recognize it by now:


    Once the handle finished (1860 SPX or 1854 ES) it nicely sold off....

    It actually finished the handle before the open by reaching 1854 ES but did it again after the open as it seems on the above chart....
  7. That may work much better now, in a bear market; NOT a prediction