Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by johnarb, Jan 3, 2022.

  1. Daal

    Daal

    [​IMG]

    rofl. inverse johnarb indicator
     
    #861     Dec 27, 2023
  2. johnarb

    johnarb

    I'm glad I was able to help, Daal :D and that you're happy today

    I sincerely wish for Eth to keep going up. Best wishes to Eth in 2024!

    I'm also happy today, keeping me awake very late (Asia Timezone) have a chance to close part of my MSTR options position if it hits 6 figures as planned today or tomorrow

    If not, I hold til January

    Cheerios!

    upload_2023-12-28_2-37-19.png
     
    Last edited: Dec 27, 2023
    #862     Dec 27, 2023
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  3. :thumbsup::thumbsup::thumbsup::thumbsup::thumbsup::thumbsup:
     
    #863     Dec 27, 2023
    johnarb likes this.
  4. Ouff...

    Well, at least CME Group just posted that they are allowing micro-futures contracts on Solana in January. So that may be worth something when it goes live...

    Nope, sorry. I just made that part up :) Gotcha!
     
    #864     Dec 27, 2023
  5. johnarb

    johnarb

    Closed for a loss the long Sol perp futures position

    I should have closed it last night for a small profit, I'm not experienced with the price moves of Solana, I trade on price action, so would prefer to go back to btc perpetual futures

    And this gTrade dex is not intuitive for me. Going to go back to the other dex

    upload_2023-12-28_16-38-47.png
     
    #865     Dec 28, 2023
  6. johnarb

    johnarb

    Long btc perp futures (qty=4) @43.19k liquidation 39.8k


    upload_2023-12-28_19-42-17.png
     
    #866     Dec 28, 2023
  7. Daal

    Daal

    you should have exited when you and crypto twitter were shouting from the rooftop for people to get in. thats a huge contrarian signal right there. when people are so confident that they feel totally comfortable attacking other people and the price has accelerated to the upside, its time to exit
     
    #867     Dec 28, 2023
    Sprout likes this.
  8. johnarb

    johnarb

    good advice

    Daal, you need to prepare for this next bitcoin and crypto bull market. There will be lots of opportunities as well as risks

    You need to be agile. Prepare your mind and do some mental exercises on the many scenarios and have some plans ready

    You rode down your 2nd bitcoin bull market cycle to the low, you got trapped by price anchors to very high prices and could not get yourself to sell. This is not the way

    I also rode down my 2nd bitcoin bull market cycle, but not my 3rd bitcoin bull market cycle

    Next year is your 3rd bull market cycle. Do not fuck it up again

    You need to be able to visualize clearly your risks throughout your crypto portfolio. Liquidity matters. Bitcoin and crypto assets trade in global markets 24/7/365

    I do not recommend a very high allocation to nft's and other illiquid assets but if that is your choice for this bull market, you can still make enormous profits, but be aware of market conditions and exit when there is ample liquidity

    My 2 satoshis. Good luck to you in 2024-2025 , it is going to be fucking awesome!
     
    #868     Dec 28, 2023
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  9. johnarb

    johnarb

    Update on the MSTR calls position expiration 1/19/2024

    I saw the position valued as high as $85k but I was too tired and went to sleep. It went as high as $88k

    Today is the last trading day for 2023 and it is most likely that my MSTR calls position will not hit 6 figure

    It is not too bad. My opinion is that on the first week of January 2024, there will be a lot of money coming in to buy bitcoins which is what happened at the beginning of this year 2023

    January 10 is the deadline for the bitcoin spot etf. If no news or rejection, it could cause a massive price drop for bitcoin which would also crash the MSTR stock price

    This is why it's better to hold bitcoins instead of call options that have a time limit. Bitcoin will recover and go up continuously against the fiat currencies including the US $

    It could also be buy the rumor sell the news event. I do not think this will be the case and if there is an initial selloff, would quickly recover

    Thinking out the probabilities, I believe that the rewards will be sufficient to take the risks of holding the whole MSTR call options position until after January 10

    NFA


    upload_2023-12-29_10-6-19.png
     
    #869     Dec 28, 2023
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  10. NoahA

    NoahA

    I think about this as well. I don't think I will sell my sats that I have in cold storage, but I have been building up exposure in the ETF here in Canada, and also the 2X leveraged futures ETF BITX. These of course can't be traded outside of market hours, so that sucks, but since they are in a tax fee account, the huge benefit is there. I don't want to ride down a sell event, and would like to see at least BTC at 100k before I maybe lighten the position, but I just know that anything I get into anything, it crashes. I was the one who caused the bear market at the end of 2021 because I was just getting in! :D And everyone is now expecting a very good 2024, but I'm all loaded up. So either I finally win for a change and this cycle repeats as expected, or my bad luck is gonna kill this rally.
     
    #870     Dec 29, 2023
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