Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by johnarb, Jan 3, 2022.

  1. deaddog

    deaddog

    I would think Islamic Finance would work against bitcoin. Isn't there the concept of gharar. In a financial context, gharar refers to the ambiguity and deception that come from the sale of items whose existence is uncertain. Bitcoin is like a unicorn, people swear that they are out there, but no one has ever seen one.
     
    #591     Dec 7, 2022
  2. johnarb

    johnarb

    I'm not very knowledgeable in the subject of Islam, but what I have heard from Muslims advocating for Bitcoin is that Bitcoin is not based on debt

    Fiat currencies are debt-based

    Bitcoin is a digital asset that is created by expending energy through bitcoin mining like gold but a digital version
     
    #592     Dec 7, 2022
    NoahA likes this.
  3. ph1l

    ph1l

    The Islamic opinion of crypto is mixed.
    https://www.sarwa.co/blog/is-cryptocurrency-halal
     
    #593     Dec 7, 2022
  4. johnarb

    johnarb

    Closed long btc perp futures @ $16,829

    Not much trading range today, should have closed it earlier..

    upload_2022-12-7_19-26-10.png
     
    #594     Dec 7, 2022
  5. johnarb

    johnarb

    Lots of info on perpetual futures, some macro discussion and insights

     
    #595     Dec 15, 2022
    Axon likes this.
  6. johnarb

    johnarb

    Can't change the title of the thread to reflect the new year 2023, but anyway...

    I was going to wait until after 1/1/2023, but I have already been making moves on crypto portfolio management so I know how I'm playing the crypto winter situation

    I think the Fed continues the shitshow raising interest rates and when they stop, they will keep it there, "higher for longer", as they've been saying...

    How long? maybe 2-5 years starting in 2023 (not counting 2022)

    As a result, I think stock market continues its slow grind down, a nice orderly crash

    What about Bitcoin and cryptos? I think Bitcoin price is at the bottom or near the lowest levels for this crypto winter

    nfa

    And with that belief:

    • I'm utilizing a defi platform heavily to deposit btc as collateral and borrow stablecoin against it. This is a form of leverage, but nothing crazy, 80% LTV is the defi platform limit, but I stay below 65%
    • I'm using the stablecoins to yield farm, mixture of old established beaten down (in price) crypto projects as well as newer, more promising but higher risk crypto projects
    • I'm swing trading crypto perpetual futures, mainly btc, which has been on a very tight trading range, quite predictable the past couple of weeks, hope it continues

    Good video from crypto experts below:

     
    #596     Dec 26, 2022
    NoahA likes this.
  7. deaddog

    deaddog

  8. johnarb

    johnarb

    My swing trading of the Bitcoin price range does not require a "bottom", but thanks for the link

    I closed a long position a couple of hours ago for a profit, looking for re-entry

    upload_2022-12-26_19-10-10.png
     
    #598     Dec 26, 2022
  9. deaddog

    deaddog

    #599     Dec 27, 2022
    virtusa likes this.
  10. johnarb

    johnarb

     
    #600     Dec 28, 2022
    deaddog likes this.