Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by johnarb, Jan 3, 2022.

  1. Sprout

    Sprout

    HTF’s are good to deduce narrative, form bias and frame trades. LTF’s are good to drill down to see setups and reduce risk with entries.

    The swing points looking left are where there is resting liquidity. The market is optimized to seek liquidity.

    If you zoom in on those HTF large candles, you’ll see that on LTF’s that there are gaps in liquidity; that various price levels had no trading. The market will tend to fill these price gaps in time.
     
    #501     Nov 14, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  2. johnarb

    johnarb

    I'm embarrassed to admit that I cannot drill down on the chart as it's a free charting on the platform

    I think I'll sign up for TradingView but need perpetual futures charting as it's different prices than spot

    I missed a long entry within 15 minutes of my closing the position. It would have given a wider range and profit if I took it, when it wicked down below $16,400, at the time it looked like a "crash" below support

    If I had a professional trading chart, that wick down would have shown up as low volume, hence the thin wick?

    upload_2022-11-14_9-39-37.png
     
    #502     Nov 14, 2022
  3. Sprout

    Sprout

    Tradingview generally has Black Friday Specials with very good discounts.

    Yes, wicks and tails are "poor highs/lows" and with something like Exocharts and the right template and overlays you can see "inside the market" of each candle and it's volume profile.

    Once you "see" the tpo's and volume profiles of candle compositions you can then simplify with standard bar/candle charts that TV provides. You can probably do the same with TV but I was using Exocharts when I was studying Footprint charting. Once I got the aha, then Exocharts was less useful since I've pivoted from trading crypto; they didn't support the instruments I was interested in and let the premium subscription lapse.

    TPO, volume profile and footprints are another way to interpret market data, some like it better, some not-so-much. Tradingview offers more general functionality and is a good first purchase. One can use 30m TF to hack Market Profile (TPO's).
     
    #503     Nov 14, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  4. johnarb

    johnarb

    Thank you very much, Sprout! Really appreciate all the info

    I can pay with crypto on TradingView which is awesome. I'm watching a YouTube video on TradingView "how to use high-low charts" , it's exciting to learn about

    To be honest, though, I don't want to overtrade, only want 1-3 trades per day

    Thanks again for all the info, I have lots to learn on this
     
    #504     Nov 14, 2022
    Sprout likes this.
  5. johnarb

    johnarb

    On Twitter spaces yesterday, it was mentioned $3.9 Billion worth of bitcoins have been withdrawn from exchanges...

    and today someone mentioned the backlog on the Bitcoin mempool so I checked... 129 blocks backlog!!

    fucken' eh

    iykyk

    upload_2022-11-14_14-7-9.png
     
    #505     Nov 14, 2022
    NoahA likes this.
  6. TrAndy2022

    TrAndy2022

    Is the crypto bear market already over ?

    https://crypto.com/research/crypto-bear-markets

    Crypto.com Research and Insights disclaimer for research reports

    Key Takeaways
    • According to Grayscale Investment’s estimate, the current bear market has approximately 250 days to go. Although unpleasant, bear markets are part of the market cycle, are not crypto-specific phenomena, and pose opportunities for investors.
    • Market cycles lack a standard definition but typically last approximately four years, with bull runs being two to three times longer than bear runs. However, there is no consensus on their length, and different reports suggest that they may become shorter or longer.
    • We are advancing through the fourth largest drawdown in Bitcoin’s history, reaching -71.0%, while previous drawdowns have reached up to -86.9%.
    • Halvings seem to cause price surges and drops without erasing gains. In 2018, Bitcoin peaked at around US$20,000 and fell to US$4,000, but its pre-halving value was about US$600.It is possible that 2024’s halving may follow the same pattern.
    • Bear markets often breed fear, with clickbait-style news pronouncing Bitcoin ‘dead’ 35 times a year on average and Google searches such as ‘Bitcoin is dead’ booming.
    • Bear sentiment benefits the market’s health. Billionaire Mark Cuban and Ethereum’s creator Vitalik Buterin welcome bear markets as a Darwinian mechanism to thin out weak assets.
    Crypto_Bear Markets.jpg
     
    #506     Nov 14, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  7. johnarb

    johnarb

    I made a trade about 2 hours ago long btc perp futures and profited a little less than 700 USDT

    I did not post it here as it was clear as I took the screenshot that (below) it was a bad trade, going long on a downtrend when I did not observe a candle-reversal, yet

    I purchased a yearly subscription to TradingView Pro+ paid with bitcoin (of course) and spent about 3 hours trying to match the ma lines on my trading platform, also watched a couple of youtube videos on TradingView

    I was too eager to trade as a result. There's a lesson here...

    • Don't get distracted

    Trading s difficult enough, we cannot afford to lose focus and face more headwinds to profits

    nfa

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    upload_2022-11-15_0-21-33.png

    -------

    Current chart below:

    upload_2022-11-15_0-25-49.png
     
    #507     Nov 15, 2022
  8. johnarb

    johnarb

    Long btc perp futures @ $16,793 (wide) stop loss @ $16,480

    Bad entry price, chased on the way up. Looking for a btc move back to above $17K

    Geopolitical (Poland) news causing volatility in all markets

    nfa

    upload_2022-11-15_11-47-56.png
     
    #508     Nov 15, 2022
  9. johnarb

    johnarb

    Every time it hits $16,900, btc perp futures pulls back. I've seen it 3 times. Closed position $16,895 but looking to re-enter, hope it doesn't run upwards now that I exited

    upload_2022-11-15_16-3-1.png
     
    #509     Nov 15, 2022
  10. johnarb

    johnarb

    Re-entered long btc perp futures @ $16,833 (wide) stop loss @ $16,480

    Good entry price now since closed earlier position for profits

    Geopolitical (Poland) news causing volatility in all markets

    nfa

    upload_2022-11-15_16-16-53.png
     
    #510     Nov 15, 2022