Crude Oil

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by JFonseca, Apr 4, 2020.

  1. But don't many instruments move in tandem with the larger economy?

    You're never gonna see the Dow drop 10% and the Nasdaq do nothing.
     
    #141     Apr 9, 2020
  2. schizo

    schizo

    Don't trade Crude while trading S&P. Don't trade S&P while trading Gold. Don't trade Gold while trading the Treasury. You get my point? Stick to one thing. Otherwise, you'll just become a master of none.

    BTW if 2 or more instruments "moves in tandem" as you imply, why not stick to just one? There's no point of switching back and forth.
     
    #142     Apr 9, 2020
  3. Yea I get it. Especially when many of them are either redundant or opposites.
     
    #143     Apr 9, 2020

  4. XOM just below the money puts at 2-3 months out. If you get assigned, the div will be >10%, so you can hold.
    Can oil really down any more?
    Also - I've been pairs trading USO short against USOI (covered calls on USO) long. Been a good trade so far.
     
    #144     Apr 11, 2020
  5. Although Natural Gas is often called "The Widow Maker," at times CL can be even more so, due to the extreme reaction to headlines and rumors. Especially now with the virus exacerbating risk asset swings in general.

    The level of uncertainty in this oil market right now is amazing; thus the rewards could be astronomical, but if you are on the wrong side ... Ughh! At the moment I will only consider brief day trades.

    If the recent "agreement" falls apart completely, the key price levels below 20 on WTI are the 2001 low of $17.15 a barrel and if it really crashes, the 1998 low of $10.35.
     
    #145     Apr 11, 2020
  6. easymon1

    easymon1

    FJ, your travel guide https://www.comebackalive.com/who-is-ryp/ awaits your call when you are free.
    "got risk? FJ Honeybadger don't care FJHoneybadger doesn't give a shit."


    By the way, in general terms, computer, laptop, phone, what kind of device are you looking at while trading if you don't mind me asking. Keep on Truckin FJ!
     
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2020
    #146     Apr 11, 2020
  7. Your point regarding succeeding in specializing before you diversify has merit. Having been in futures for 11 years now, my observations are that you also need to find contracts that mesh well with your personality and energy level, including risk and volatility tolerance.

    Not everybody can become a great oil trader, there are times the price action/volatility is exceedingly challenging, and usually quite different than say trading the Loonie. Gold is a whole other world, with its own quirks and manipulations.

    Think about ancient hunters and how they had to know their prey and techniques very well. Their lives depended on it. Are you hunting rabbits with a stick, or mammoths with a Clovis-tipped projectile?
     
    #147     Apr 11, 2020
  8. Android
     
    #148     Apr 11, 2020

  9. Shaking is good, lots of money be made, even if bullish, on the way down to 17 with shaking, i can agree that we are going down since we dropped after the meeting which was expected since the whole world was expecting a deal and it going up, obviously it cant be that easily, i liquidated in the morning and got back in end of the day
     
    #149     Apr 11, 2020

  10. One thing or one style??
     
    #150     Apr 11, 2020