Crude Oil - tomerok

Discussion in 'Journals' started by tomerok, Nov 7, 2013.

  1. tomerok

    tomerok

    game plan:
    Same as before
    Wait for price to re-test the lows for 5mtbr long
    Wait for price to re-test the MP for 5mtbr short
    Other than that all the rest is useless for me.
     
    #41     Nov 13, 2013
  2. Gringo

    Gringo

    Tomorek,

    Price is having serious problems rising. After this steep drop it's finding it difficult so far to even show enough strength to get to the mid of the drop where you are planning a short.

    Do you have a plan to take advantage of price in case it doesn't even get to the mid and starts to fail? As an example are you keeping a DL of this rise and it's break and Ret could lead you into a short whenever and where ever it shows up instead of only at the Mid and S/R?

    Gringo
     
    #42     Nov 13, 2013
  3. tomerok

    tomerok

    saw this too late, but check my hindsight post that will follow, i did consider taking a short prior to MP (the small TR lows was on my mind)
    took it and bailed once supply dried out

    and to elaborate on your question, at the stage i'm at i'm focusing (execution) only on 5mtbr's (counter), i do keep notes and track behaviour
    and i plan on expanding my trading into a wider set of if - then... scenario's
    currently i really enjoy the focus on one play.

    Tomer.
     
    #43     Nov 13, 2013
  4. tomerok

    tomerok

    here's the daily hindsight/recap with execution
     
    #44     Nov 13, 2013
  5. tomerok

    tomerok

    The bigger picture still shows supply is present
    Demand had not taken over yet
     
    #45     Nov 14, 2013
  6. tomerok

    tomerok

    When drilling down it is clear that a Trading range is in play
    It held above the MP for a couple of days just to take out all buyers in once day

    Price ranged above the MP for a while and now shows signs of ranging below the MP
     
    #46     Nov 14, 2013
  7. tomerok

    tomerok

    game plan:
    Wait for a retest of the MP for a 5mtbr short (PHOD will also serve me well)
    If we reach TR highs look for 5mtbr short
    Wait for TR lows for 5mtbr long(LOD will also serve me well)
     
    #47     Nov 14, 2013
  8. tomerok

    tomerok

    Price consolidates , the MP response (supply) occurred but demand were found below,
    this created a consolidation I should avoid.
    Overall picture (60m) holds a nice DL but the MP above still holds.
     
    #48     Nov 14, 2013
  9. tomerok

    tomerok

    game plan:
    Avoid the MP, Wait for the extremes TR high or low
     
    #49     Nov 14, 2013
  10. tomerok

    tomerok

    done for the day, i don't trade inventories day
    no trades today
     
    #50     Nov 14, 2013