Crude Oil Prediction 2018

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by radha00027, Jan 2, 2018.

  1. Crude oil is a naturally produced substance contained of hydrocarbons. It is considered a fossil fuel for there is strong evidence that it’s invented by fossilized animals and plants. Oil is on course for a second annual gain after last month’s decision by OPEC, Russia and other non-OPEC members to extend production curbs in an effort to rebalance the Oil market.

    February WTI crude oil (USO) futures agreements are above their 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages on December 26, 2017. It indicates that prices could trade higher. Any fall in US crude oil inventories and an unplanned supply outage could push crude oil (DBO) prices higher. All of these factors suggest that crude oil prices could start 2018 on a positive note. However, any rise in US crude oil production could cap the upside for crude oil (UWT) prices.

    A Reuters survey projected that Brent and US crude oil prices could average $58.84 per barrel and $54.78 per barrel and Investment bank Jefferies estimated that Brent and WTI oil price are expected to average $63 per barrel and $59 per barrel in 2018 and. It believes that the fall in global crude oil inventories below the five-year average in 3Q18 will help oil prices. The production cut extension and improving global crude oil demand will support oil prices in 2018. However, the rise in non-OPEC oil supplies in 2018 will pressure oil prices. The EIA expected that the Brent (BNO) and US crude oil (SCO) prices could average $57.26 per barrel and $52.77 per barrel in 2018.

    A Wall Street Journal survey projected that Brent and US crude oil prices are expected to average $56 per barrel and $53 per barrel in 2018. The IEA (International Energy Agency) expects that US oil production will increase by 870,000 bpd in 2018, which will add to non-OPEC supplies. The rise in non-OPEC supplies could partially offset the production cuts in 2018. It would weigh on oil (UCO) prices in 2018.

    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. Handle123


    Crude Oil Prediction 2018

  3. truetype


    What expiry month?
  4. Hello radha00027,

    Thanks for article.

    Why does crude oil above 20, 50, and 100 day average mean oil prices could go higher?

  5. R123


    Crude Oil 2018

    Higher, the language is starting to sound deja vu before last big oil rally ??
    High production fears, offsets to demand, Opec, an unbreakable price ceiling, to many rigs, etc. etc.
    I am long several oil/energy companies and staying long despite the chatter. No idea when move is coming, but not going to miss this one.
    jarolow likes this.
  6. I think the oil will have a significant boost this year.
  7. Buy1Sell2


    ALL. Thank for the question Surf.
  8. bone

    bone ET Sponsor

    Highly correlated to the US Equity Market for sure. IMO that's a bigger fundamental driver than OPEC as long as North American supply remains so dominant.

    So much for 'peak oil'.
  9. erick_red


    No doubt that the extension of the cut helps the rise in prices, but the fall of PDVSA production, but the strong winter in the northern hemisphere have made the oil a jump that could make it reach $ 70 per barrel
  10. pushpop


    Crude at $83.25 end of year, up due to tension in the middle east, weakened USD and because I own calls at $72.00.
    #10     Jan 25, 2018
    KevinD likes this.