Crude is screwed, man.

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by Overnight, Feb 26, 2017.

  1. bone

    bone

    Oh yeah, we've been killing with the CL Flys and Condors. Lots of quality entry signals - and guys aren't waiting too long with them either. I have one client who bought a CL Condor a few weeks ago, hit his profit target, and sold a CL Fly the next day - slightly different curve area. Bam bam.
     
    #121     Mar 1, 2017
    .sigma likes this.
  2. bpr

    bpr

    Somebody please tell me when crude will break from this dreaded narrow range ...it is almost 2 months now ...I am loosing my patience
     
    #122     Mar 1, 2017
  3. xandman

    xandman

    On Feb 22, this graph was almost straight. I thought my spreadsheet was broke. It would be interesting to see that happen again, soon.

    The problem is: I have no clue how this curve flaps around. There is minimal front month directionality attributed to it.

    upload_2017-3-1_21-37-28.png
     
    #123     Mar 1, 2017
  4. bone

    bone

    Moment of clairvoyance on your part IMO. BTW, the balance of 2018 rocks so put that in there pronto. Hell, there's some 2019 expiries we actively trade.
     
    #124     Mar 1, 2017
    xandman likes this.
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Brent is tightening fast and WTI not far behind. The Dec17/18 strip is already in backwardation.
     
    #125     Mar 1, 2017
  6. PistolPete

    PistolPete

    if you do a 3d chart model of all the forwards you will know exactly how it " flaps around . It can be done in excel fwiw
     
    #126     Mar 4, 2017
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    [​IMG]
     
    #127     Mar 4, 2017
    TraDaToR, PistolPete, xandman and 2 others like this.
  8. For the last 2 months, volatility has really come down of crude oil. Now trading more number of lots than earlier.
     
    #128     Mar 4, 2017
  9. xandman

    xandman

    @PistolPete

    3d? Please enlighten me. My understanding is very elementary.

    I do understand comparing tenors, but I lack creativity in designing the spreadsheet. Can you recommend something easy to implement via RTD?
     
    #129     Mar 4, 2017
    Adam777 likes this.
  10. 322170

    322170

    you may want to check out the movie "A Crude Awakening" it's very informative.
    like anything there will invariably be opinions regarding the movie's content however, keeping an open mind I thought it was worth watching.
     
    #130     Mar 6, 2017
    PistolPete likes this.