Crucial Juncture - S&P Poll

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Radiohead, Nov 18, 2022.

What will the S&P 500 do in relation to the 200 day Moving Average?

Poll closed Nov 21, 2022.
  1. Hit Resistance at/before the 200 MA and resume Bear Market

    3 vote(s)
    30.0%
  2. False Breakout above the 200 MA then resume Bear Market

    5 vote(s)
    50.0%
  3. Breakout above 200 MA and then a Flat/Range-Bound Market

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Breakout above 200 MA and then a Bull Market

    2 vote(s)
    20.0%
  1. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    it's going to be sorta self fulfilling on the 200 day average.

    [​IMG]

    stan's band study 21 day moving average when price crosses the 2.5% upper or lower band you start counting how many days the price will stay above mean average.

    [​IMG]


    questions?
     
    #11     Nov 18, 2022
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. %%
    LOL, actually that can be a good thing\ he considers 200dma ''worthless'':D:D
    General Haggerty head of Institutional Trading/capital markets @ Fidelity noted those elephant sized funds, many of them will not to admit to using the 200dma, but he noted they do.
    Did not vote in poll, but SPY has spent so much time below 200dma\2022\:thumbsdown:.
    SPY most likely stays below 200dma/even if SPY has an UP/ NOV like 2018 bear:thumbsup:
     
    #12     Nov 18, 2022
    Sekiyo likes this.
  3. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    So let me ask (anyone) where was the SMA 200 when $SPX hit ATH 01/04/22?

    That's right nowhere friggen near it. High that day was 4818.62 and SMA was 4391.33 or 427.29 points lower!!!!!

    Second question: when did SMA 200 top and start down slope, 4/22/22 or 3 and 1/2 months later!!!

    Talk about lagggggggggging.
     
    #13     Nov 18, 2022
    murray t turtle likes this.
  4. %%
    200 dma was lot lower + '' near '' on SPY\LOL\ it could NOT even close below 50dma of $464.64, 1/04/2022 week, close .
    SO only in hindsight was that a SPY major trend change point/ matter of fact SPY made new uptrend hi that week......................................................................................................
    Considered a SPXL buy today\ but SPXS[ bear SPY + related ....] looked + proved better. Bye.:cool::cool: Lagging comment, the best kind.:D:D
     
    #14     Nov 18, 2022
  5. M.W.

    M.W.

    I am not sure which is more gullible and a reflection of utter stupidity: the few elites who invested in SBF or the masses who plot some scribbly moving average and think the market goes up if it crosses above the MA and down otherwise, knowing full well how professionals in this market with 100 times the educational acumen and skill set labor hard 7 days a week, 14 hours a day to eke out 10-20% per annum.

    Those who rely primarily on some technical indicators are in my book the most retarded human beings that roam this planet. But you can't see beyond your little screen with a low iq. All that is left is hope and wishful thinking. Recipe for disaster.
     
    #15     Nov 18, 2022
    Clubber Lang likes this.
  6. smallfil

    smallfil

    Paul Tudor Jones uses the 200 sma and he is known to pick tops and bottoms. It does have some value if you are a long term investor. It is just a tool to keep you on the right side of the stockmarket.
     
    #16     Nov 19, 2022
  7. Radiohead

    Radiohead


    That's interesting. Haven't seen that one before. For the Year Average, does it use the total days above/below or are the times where the count resets used in the average as well? For example, on 11/10 and 11/11 the day count resets. Are you using a spreadsheet to calculate it?
     
    #17     Nov 21, 2022