Crash Monday? SVB contagion, VIX spike

Discussion in 'Trading' started by KCalhoun, Mar 12, 2023.

  1. destriero

    destriero

    It's less about faith in large cap tech and the lack thereof in COMP-financials.
     
    #511     Mar 23, 2023
    Adam777 and TrailerParkTed like this.
  2. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Not odd at all. NQ is $NDX futs.

    You're mixing them up with Nasdaq Composite $COMPX or what yahoo uses ^IXIC
     
    #512     Mar 23, 2023
  3. Is there a way to search for a post I made in here that shows more than the first sentence in results?

    And forum settings to show more than 9-10 posts per page?
    TIA
     
    #513     Mar 23, 2023
  4. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Uvxy. :D
     
    #514     Mar 23, 2023
  5. You might get this soon. But a few things need to happen first.
    I'm slightly bullish NQ, bearish ES (duh). Nq's currently above 50ma on 60min, slope flat. ES below, slope neg.

    Which will end up leading the other? There's a battle going on between all the HFT algos with no clear winner yet.

    So this is what needs to happen for me to go short. If we can get ES to cross over the 50ma on the 60min, then crosses below. I would be shorting ES there (likely a hair above 4000) with more conviction.

    Or... if ES gets close (within 5pts) and turns ( the 50ma price becomes the stop for both scenario), not as much confidence as in above scenario.

    Use 5 min chart to monitor the ES 60min 50sma buy using 600sma on the 5 min chart - that gives close enough approximation.

    I likely won't be able to make any trades tomorrow as I'm out all day :(, but hopefully someone can make some coin if this happens. If I do, I'll post results, but if not these will have to do.

    I was too busy to grab mobile screen at the close and when I was able to, the app had reset the numbers for the futures trades (but not the equities) for the day, so it shows I'm down .1%; when in reality, I'm up close to 6%.

    I did make a screen grab in the morning (8:44am) that shows I was up 3% and you can see the balance is higher in the eve (9:03pm)

    Anyway, good luck tomorrow.
     
    Last edited: Mar 24, 2023
    #515     Mar 24, 2023
    KCalhoun likes this.
  6. I hope someone here made some seripus gains today cuz I didn't.

    Been driving all morning and still have 3hrs to go so will make this quick.

    I made a few trades by setting parameters that I mentioned earlier. Was up quite a bit more but couldn't close out trades optimally since I'm driving and I cant monitor charts in LA traffic and Google maps taking up some of the screen...

    Anyway, I'll write more when I get to my destination or when I get back Monday.
     
    #516     Mar 24, 2023
  7. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Frustrating day choppy af
     
    #517     Mar 24, 2023
    rb7 likes this.
  8. There were 2 great areas for a trade on ES to be made on Friday and it went pretty much as I described. Short es as it approaches the 50ma on the 60min chart within 5pts of it. It's point A and B in both graphs below, 60 min and 5min.

    If anyone here were to have followed my basic rules, (s)he would have made a killing on Friday shorting all day until near end of day were the signals reversed to be be long and stayed long til futes closed.

    I'll be posting a lot less going forward since this is too time consuming for me and it seems not many here are actually trading.

    Anyway, I made just 3 round trip trades today due to a late start and need to head out rest of day.

    I'll take out 20k from the account to help pay taxes so if I post next time, the basis will be 20k less than account today.

    Just to recap:
    I started trading NQ's Jan 17 with account of 24.2k.
    Account is up ~295% since then.
    Max position = 1.5NQ
    Largest drawdown eod to eod the way TOS calcs it was 4.49% when account was ~26k.
    Since it's grown to 40k, largest drawdown was never more than 2%

    Rules based on 60min chart.
    Be aware the slope.
    Bias long when price is >50ma
    Bias short when prices is <50ma
    For less experienced traders, make trades near the 50ma and use that for stops.
    Use 5 min chart to gauge exit and entries.

    @dest, you owe this thread a post of Friday's screen shot.

    Peace all!
     
    #518     Mar 27, 2023
    NCC1701 and KCalhoun like this.
  9. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    Another train wreck of a thread from Calhoun. Follow his advice and you lose money. Note that his PLAY OF THE YEAR was long UVXY two weeks ago at 6.5 and hold until 15-18. For those who may be confused by Calhoun's hype, you'd be down 22% at this point holding and have to make a decision on taking more heat or not.
     
    Last edited: Mar 28, 2023
    #519     Mar 28, 2023
    NCC1701 likes this.
  10. destriero

    destriero

    I posted it at 11:50 local time on Thursday to the ES journal and it was deleted bc it wasn’t ES-related. I was in LV on Friday and had another cash-exp in SPX that was profitable. I am down 0.3% on marks for this week as I’ve traded a lot/comms.

    ‘Mods, 99% of the ES journal is completely fabricated and you delete a PNL post?
     
    #520     Mar 28, 2023