Counting of excess deaths over similar time periods is a straight-forward exercise. Trying to compare it to sampling polls regarding an election is disingenuous. Statisticians are different than pollsters
Deaths were under-counted initially. Currently deaths are being outrageously over-counted by attributing non-Covid deaths to Covid. Statistics in their pure form are useful and powerful. Statistics as a political football are a disaster and at this point meaningless. When then numbers are fiddled enough any meaning is lost. I'm amazed that people continue to argue about numbers that are now unknowable. Rather than push my personal beliefs I'm trying to respect that others are concerned or even fearful so I wear my stupid mask in the store. Not because the govt says to wear it. Not because store management wants me to wear one. I do it because I don't want to make anyone uncomfortable, even though I know its nonsense. Its common courtesy and I'm a guest here. They could have told us to leave but they didn't. But if I'm being completely candid my concern about Covid is down around zero. I'm trying to understand why some of you are so fearful but I'm coming up with nothing. Its irrational fear I guess. My ancient father is complaining that they've locked him out of the gym lol. The acorn doesn't fall far from the tree. I just don't GAF.
So, you are relying on statistics from other states? More utter garbage when, those figures are also, estimates. So, you create more estimates from estimates? Garbage in, garbage out.
Are you stating that the information on the total number of deaths in a state in a particular month is pure nonsense? This information is mandated to be provided by law and is very easy to acquire. Comparing the number of deaths from April 2020 to April 2019 (or any other year) is a very simple exercise.
The number of deaths are accurate. However, the projections put out are nothing but, estimates. Two different things. Hell, even the cause of death is subject to debate because of the misclassifying happening. Unless, you audit the cases and have an idea of the misclassifying, you do not know how overstated the deaths attributed to Corona Virus.
Actually that is pretty hard. It requires time travel and threatens the consistency of the multi-verse.
Take all death total figures from Covid-19 and divide by 8 and you will have numbers that are a lot closer to being the truth. So far, there is nothing but manipulative lies from the media, ect.