New CDC Covid-19 metrics drop strong mask recommendations for most of the country https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/25/health/cdc-covid-metrics-mask-guidance/index.html New metrics from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention indicate that about 28% of people in the United States live in a county where they need to wear masks indoors, a significant drop from previous metrics that advised 99% of people in the US to keep their masks on. Previously, the CDC pointed to levels of coronavirus transmission within communities as a key metric for restrictions, recommending that people in areas with high or substantial levels of transmission – about 99% of the population – should wear masks indoors. The CDC’s “Covid-19 community level” metrics are now based on three pieces of data in a community: new Covid-19 hospitalizations, hospital capacity and new Covid-19 cases. Under the updated guidance, more than 70% of the US population is in a location with low or medium Covid-19 community levels. For those areas, there is no recommendation for indoor masking unless you are at potential “increased risk” for Covid-19 and if so, the CDC recommends to talk to your health care provider about wearing a mask. At all levels, the CDC recommends people get vaccinated and boosted, and get tested if you have symptoms. In areas with “high” levels, the CDC also advises wearing a mask in public indoor settings, including schools. In areas with “medium” levels, the CDC advises talking with your doctor about wearing a mask if you’re at increased risk for Covid-19. In areas with “low” Covid-19 community levels, there is no recommendation for mask wearing. The CDC notes that anyone who wants to wear a mask should continue to do so. “This new framework moves beyond just looking at cases and test positivity, to evaluate factors that reflect the severity of disease – including hospitalizations and hospital capacity – and helps to determine whether the level of Covid-19 and severe disease are low, medium or high in a community,” CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky told reporters during a telebriefing call Friday. “The Covid-19 community level we are releasing today will inform CDC recommendations on prevention measures, like masking, and CDC recommendations for layered prevention measures will depend on the Covid-19 level in the community,” Walensky said. “This updated approach focuses on directing our prevention efforts towards protecting people at high risk for severe illness and preventing hospitals and health care systems from being overwhelmed.” Community Covid-19 levels Counties with fewer than 200 new Covid-19 cases per 100,000 people in the past week are considered to have “low” Covid-19 community levels if they have fewer than 10 new Covid-19 hospital admissions per 100,000 or less than 10% of staffed hospital beds occupied by Covid-19 patients on average in the past week. Levels are “medium” if counties have 10 to nearly 20 new Covid-19 hospital admissions per 100,000 or between 10% and 14.9% of staffed hospital beds occupied by Covid-19 patients on average in the past week. Levels are considered “high” if counties have 20 or more new Covid-19 hospital admissions per 100,000 or at least 15% of staffed hospital beds occupied by Covid-19 patients on average in the past week. The update to CDC guidance comes at a time when daily Covid-19 cases in the United States have fallen to a tenth of what they were at their peak last month, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. The 90% drop – from an average of more than 802,000 cases per day on January 15 to less than 75,000 currently – happened over the course of about six weeks. In recent weeks, some states seem to have already made this shift in focus from community transmission to hospitalizations. Many states have made plans to lift indoor or school mask mandates based on their own metrics: declining hospitalization rates and having a larger share of fully vaccinated residents than the national average.
I actually was the first one that predicted that when COVID-19 epidemic spread that at some point in the future the virus cases would lower than their highest levels
Poll: Half Of U.S. Worries Deaths Will Rise If Pandemic Restrictions End https://www.forbes.com/sites/brucej...if-pandemic-restrictions-end/?sh=13719dfe6f68 Americans are worried about the end of mask mandates and pandemic restrictions with about half worried about increased deaths if their communities “lift pandemic restrictions.” The latest Kaiser Family Foundation vaccine monitor report shows worries abound as local communities, states and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention relax restrictions on masking and other mitigations as Covid-19 cases plummet across the U.S. About half, or 49%, or U.S. adults surveyed are worried or somewhat worried “there will be an increased number of deaths in their community if the government lifts pandemic restrictions,” the poll and related analysis, released Tuesday, show. About the same percentage, or 48% of U.S. adults, worry that “they personally wouldn’t be able to get needed medical care because local hospitals could be again overwhelmed if restrictions are relaxed.” The survey, which was conducted February 9-21 of more than 1,500 adults 18 and older, came largely before the CDC last week issued new guidance designed in part to help U.S. communities live with the Coronavirus and return to normal life. The CDC’s guidance means most Americans, or about 70%, can stop wearing masks and no longer need to social distance or worry as much about crowded indoor spaces. “The conventional wisdom seems to be that Americans are ready to throw off all COVID restrictions and be done with it, but the survey shows that reality is much more complicated,” Kaiser Family Foundation chief executive Drew Altman said. “Much of the public is sensibly both anxious and eager about returning to normal.” Like most things during the pandemic, there tends to be a partisan divide when it comes to how to return to pre-pandemic life, the Kaiser analysis shows. More than 80% of Democrats “worry about the consequences of lifting restrictions on immune-compromised people” compared to just 30% of Republicans. And 66% of Democrats worry about overwhelming hospitals compared to just 22% of Democrats.
And 66% of Democrats worry about overwhelming hospitals compared to just 22% of Democrats. Ah, I see. Makes perfect sense.
Yep.. obviously the last word in the sentence should be Republicans -- based on the information in the KFF survey. The entire Kaiser survey and analysis can be read here.
Despite recent claims based on a model that 70% of the U.S. have had Omicron Covid -- the reality is turning out to be quite different in recent surveys of infected people from states. Most states are finding only 40% of their population have been infected with Covid -- at any time -- not just during the Omicron wave. This means that states are nowhere near "natural herd immunity" -- ignoring the reality that being infected with Covid only provides "immunity" for a short period of time and people can get re-infected. Nearly 40% of Connecticut residents — and nearly half of children — have had COVID-19 since start of pandemic, CDC study finds https://www.courant.com/coronavirus...0220301-7a6lmdeyjzeh5joxijmbkvchsa-story.html
Why the Crybaby Convoyers and Anti-vaxxers have been so blissfully quiet on social media this week ... ‘Bot holiday’: Covid disinformation down as social media pivot to Ukraine The usual deluge of invective prompted by coronavirus and vaccine issues is absent – Russia’s invasion may be a factor https://www.theguardian.com/media/2022/mar/04/bot-holiday-covid-misinformation-ukraine-social-media