The stark differences in countries’ coronavirus death rates, explained Since scientists are pretty sure the virus isn’t mutating very quickly, the pathogen itself shouldn’t be more deadly in one place than another. So why the variation? While we watch the number of cases — and deaths — climb, experts also are closely eyeing what they call the case fatality rate (CFR). This tells the proportion of people who get Covid-19 and ultimately die from the illness, and it’s a number that has been varying widely from country to country. More: https://www.vox.com/2020/4/1/21203198/coronavirus-deaths-us-italy-china-south-korea
Most of you are underestimating the issue. Some might be good at numbers and trading but this is not about stats. The stats are inaccurate, even the test are inaccurate. Lots of false negative on otherwise confirmed cases. This nothing like the flu, and it's way more aggressive in contamination. No health system in the world is ready or funded to handle a pandemic. No leader is ready or prepared. It's not about politics or pharma, this is a real problem. Life/Economy on the table... This is trade.
What's really alarming is that last week, the confirmed Corona cases topped 500,000. Today, we passed 1,000,000. That is, in just a matter of one week, the number doubled. By next week, we could see 2,000,000 cases.
Density has a crucial impact. Some countries handle the situation better (green), some do worse (red). Density of SF is 6632/km², so three times lower than NY (19553/km²). So much lower risk of infections passed from one to another.
Dude should've lobbied and become part of the supply chain so he could price gouge legally & be supplied by the feds:
In Spain they did what I suggested above. Here is the result of their findings (quickly translated with Google) The El Pais newspaper calculated, based on a comparison of the funeral figures for the Madrid region of March last year and this year, that in reality there may have been 3,000 more deaths than officially counted. For example, 9,007 funeral admissions were registered in the second half of March this year, while last year there were "only" 4,125 in the entire month of March. The newspaper calculated that there were 6,613 more deaths than last year in the same last two weeks of March, while the official death rate from the corona virus in and around the capital stands at 3,439 for that period. Number of deaths are manipulated, probably everywhere. El Mundo calculated that Spain has in reality between 27,000 and 41,000 corona deaths. So not the official number of 13,978. According to the government, people that were tested and had Corona were considered as Corona deaths when they died. People who died without being tested were not counted as Corona victims. So if people die, don't test them to keep the numbers low, was the instruction from the Spanish government.
This is the truth. Each asymptomatic carrier has ~14 days to spread the virus. Just doing a rough estimate of how many interactions a typical person has in that timeframe....well, I shouldn't have to work out the implications for you, it should be obvious. If it was allowed to spread unrestricted, the dead would pile up so fast that it would look like the holocaust. Then you have to consider the fact that the virus would spread most effectively between friends, within families, and among coworkers.
sfgate.com Hundreds of young Americans have now been killed by the coronavirus, data shows ByChris Mooney, Brady Dennis and Sarah Kaplan The Washington Post|Apr. 8th, 2020 https://www.sfgate.com/news/article/Hundreds-of-young-Americans-have-now-been-killed-15187636.php Two weeks after her husband died alone in an intensive care unit in Fort Myers, Florida, Nicole Buchanan is quarantined at the home they shared with their 12-year-old daughter, wrestling not only with grief but with why and how the coronavirus could steal someone so young and healthy. "My husband didn't have diabetes, he didn't have asthma, he didn't have high cholesterol. He didn't have anything," Buchanan said. "There's just so much I'll never know, that I'll never get the answers to." Conrad Buchanan, who died at 39 on March 26 after battling the infection for nearly two weeks, was creative and goofy. A professional DJ, he could entertain huge crowds with his music. But at home, he was fond of singing Bob Marley's "Three Little Birds" to his 12-year-old daughter, Skye. "He had an amazing sense of humor. He had a big laugh. He was so magnetic," his 37-year-old widow said. "He was our universe." He also was among at least 759 people under age 50 across the United States who have perished amid the deepening pandemic, according to a Washington Post analysis of state data. These deaths underscore the tragic fact that, while the novel coronavirus might be most threatening to the old and compromised, no one is immune. For the very young - people under the age of 20 - death is extremely rare in the current pandemic. But it happens: The Post identified nine such cases. The risk appears to rise with every decade of age. The Post found at least 45 deaths among people in their 20s. (It's hard to give a precise number because of the divergent ways that states present age groups: For instance, this figure does not include 15 deaths under the age of 30 in Louisiana and New Jersey.) As ages progress, The Post found at least 190 deaths among people in their 30s, and at least 413 among people in their 40s. The true number of deaths among young people is probably even higher. Not all states provide data on coronavirus deaths sorted by age group. Some, like New Jersey and Texas, provided figures after being approached by The Post, while others, like California, did not. As a result, the figures above do not include data from some states, including several with sizable outbreaks. The percentage of younger deaths, which The Post has defined as people under the age of 50, varies widely among states. It is just 0.8% of all deaths in Massachusetts, but 8% in Louisiana and 9% in Illinois. By far the largest number of such deaths have come in New York, which has the country's biggest outbreak. As of Wednesday, six New York residents under the age of 20, 33 people in their 20s, 118 in their 30s and 265 in their 40s had died. Even more young people are getting cases of serious, dangerous disease that require a hospital visit to beat. In Colorado - where the state health department reports age data for both hospitalizations and deaths - 247 people under 50 have been hospitalized. Of these patients, nine have died. Data on more than 1,400 hospitalizations released Wednesday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention showed that just over 25% of people hospitalized with covid-19 were under the age of 50. Most of these young people suffered from underlying conditions such as asthma, diabetes and hypertension. But at least seven for whom the CDC had data had no outside health problems, underscoring that a small fraction of severe cases remain hard to explain. Similarly, in New York, 64% of patients between the ages of 30 and 39 who died of the disease suffered from a preexisting condition, usually high blood pressure or diabetes. But that still leaves about a third of cases without such a possible contributing factor.