Arstechnica.com article on poll reliability on predicting the future: https://arstechnica.com/science/201...roken-but-they-still-cant-predict-the-future/
In 2004,2008 and 2012 polls got The EC and popular vote right. In 2004,2008,2012 and 2016 polls got the popular vote right and was off by 78,000 votes in The EC in 2016. Polls were right in the 2018 mid terms as well.Id much rather be on the side of the polls than against them
Interestingly, Gallup.com composite polling for direction of country has hit multiple year highs under Trump versus the late 2011 and late 2013 lows under the Obama Administration. Attached below: Edit: Unable to do photo attachments. See Gallup.com or Realclearpolitics.com. https://news.gallup.com/poll/235739/satisfaction-direction-reaches-year-high.aspx
Interestingly,in the history of Gallup.com polling,no president has won re election with a first term approval below 49(Trump is at 40) or disapproval higher than approval (Trumps disapproval is 11 points higher than his approval)
Yet 2 weeks ago https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/el...-edwards-wins-re-election-blow-trump-n1084236 Democratic Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards wins re-election in blow to Trump The president had visited the state three times in five weeks to support Republican challenger Eddie Rispone in the runoff.
I’m embarrassed for you because of your weak deflection attempt. Executive level leadership is relevant to direction of country polls, a state election is not. Try again.