Cornix's TA Performance

Discussion in 'Journals' started by cornix, Jun 3, 2013.

  1. Seriously. The current sample size is WAY TOO SMALL to draw any conclusions either way.

     
    #381     Jun 14, 2013
  2. Given your "supposed" longevity in financial mkts, I'm quite surprised at how ignorant you are of what constitutes an appropriate sample size. Perhaps you are more of a noob than you claim to be?

     
    #382     Jun 14, 2013
  3. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    + 1
    + 2
     
    #383     Jun 14, 2013
  4. Who said anything about sample size? I applaud Corn for keeping it real, nothing about his trades.

    But I do find it interesting that WHENEVER anyone sets out to objectively prove TA, the end result is ALWAYS the same......
     
    #384     Jun 14, 2013
  5. Im sorry to say current price action has been nothing short of clean and swift for the Nasdaq but I will agree sample size remains very small.
     
    #385     Jun 14, 2013
  6. The implication of your previous post is that he has failed and, in conjunction with the 2nd half of your post below, it's clear that you have already put a nail in his coffin before he's had an appropriate number of trades to draw real conclusions from.

     
    #386     Jun 14, 2013
  7. toolazy

    toolazy

    at net 57% win rate after 100 trades there is 30% chance that balance will not be positive.

    that's the nature of the thing.
     
    #387     Jun 14, 2013
  8. What? How can you possibly calculate this without knowing anything about his risk/reward.

     
    #388     Jun 14, 2013
  9. toolazy

    toolazy

    he mentioned in one of his posts that historic net RR at 1:1 risk reward is 55 to 60 %.
     
    #389     Jun 14, 2013
  10. Cornix can still beat the 20% figure--- he must be a little below breakeven at this point. Hardly an insurmountable hole to dig out of in the next 11 months. But also a long way from what Al Brooks and his cult of true believers promote as returns to aspire to! A good lesson in market reality indeed.
     
    #390     Jun 14, 2013