Dude, that's weak, but whatever. You still have untill 12-31 to go with the Fatboy bet-- so he says be patient!
Weak? You blow-up sitting at home nursing a toddler. You sit there and tell us the signals to go long should have be shorted, and that fading your ridiculous shit would have been 80% profitable. Let's forget how absurd and comical you are, for a second...what's absolutely incomprehensible is how you have been on the periphery of this business for what, 20Y, and you still don't have any clue what you're doing.
VIX is dropping. Let's up the bet from even-money at $100 to $1000. I'll lay 10:1 in your favor (you risk $1K; I risk $10K).
25/60/30 231 long in puts for Nov7. 18% allocation. Largest vol-signal for the quarter. Nearly 600bp skewed on tails and 110bp on summed-vol.
lol, it's rather appalling how little i understand of what you just said. I'd love to chalk it up to, "it's probably just the lingo he's using that you haven't come across," but very small delta that that's the case. in particular, "110bp on summed-vol." can't make heads or tails on that one.. can you elaborate?
Sorry convexx if you don't want me to reply. Artfartdart, if you take each strike and its corresponding vola with the positions on that trade, you do a sumproduct and you come up with about 1.13%, or 113 bps. What it means is that he is "selling net 110 bps in vol" in a lock The "600bp skewed on tails" is the difference between the wings vola (16.06% - 10.29%)